Yasmani Grandal Milwaukee Brewers

Age: 30 (November 8, 1988) | 6' 1" | 235lbs. | Bats: Both C-135 1B-2 PH-21
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
SD NL 2014 128 377 47 85 58 115 19 1 15 49 3 0 .225 .327 .401 13 26 .277 43/19/38 11 11
LAD AAA 2015 3 10 6 3 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 .300 .533 .400 33 20 .429 n/a
LAD NL 2015 115 355 43 83 65 92 12 0 16 47 0 1 .234 .353 .403 15 22 .268 46/17/37 9 9
LAD AAA 2016 4 9 1 3 2 4 0 0 1 3 0 0 .333 .385 .667 15 31 .333 n/a
LAD NL 2016 126 390 49 89 64 116 14 1 27 72 1 3 .228 .339 .477 14 25 .250 45/16/39 14 13
LAD NL 2017 129 438 50 108 40 130 27 0 22 58 0 1 .247 .308 .459 8 27 .298 44/16/40 11 11
LAD NL 2018 140 440 65 106 72 124 23 2 24 68 2 1 .241 .349 .466 14 24 .278 41/17/42 15 15
Career 7yrs 726 2280 295 547 348 634 110 5 113 339 6 6 .240 .341 .441 13 24 .280 n/a
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Yasmani Grandal (C) MIL - Jan. 15


Grandal passed his physical Monday and officially signed with the Brewers on a one-year,

$16 million contract that includes a $16 million mutual option for 2020, Tom Haudricourt

of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.


ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: When Grandal and the Brewers first agreed in principle Jan.

9, initial reports suggested the catcher would sign a one-year, $18.25 million contract.

Instead, it was clarified Monday that Grandal's deal will guarantee him at least

$18.25 million, as the 2020 option contains a $2.25 million buyout if not exercised.

The structure of the contract keeps the door open for Grandal to remain in Milwaukee

for two years and earn $32 million in salary plus award-based incentives, but the

30-year-old will presumably be eager to test the market again next winter in pursuit

of a longer-term deal. Grandal reportedly turned down a four-year, $60 million offer

from the Mets earlier in the offseason before New York turned its attention to other

catching options.

Alex Patton Alex

The Dodgers were not in the penalty in 2017 and 2018, according to the Wikipedia Luxury Tax page. Since 2016, in fact, when six teams were in the penalty and paid $78M in penalties, no teams were over in 2017 and only two teams in 2018 were for a total of $10.5M.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman

I think the Dodgers are far enough into the penalty that Russell Martin isn't going to get them out of it.

But the real issue, it seems to me, is whether they believe the metrics or whether their eye test is different. Does Grandal really save the team 30 runs a year just with his framing? If he does, in addition to his obvious offensive contributions, he's worth some serious coin.

For what it's worth, the voters for the Fielding Bible awards rated him fourth last year, behind Jeff Mathis, Mike Zunino, and Austin Hedges. Ten players on each ballot. Two voters ranked him first and two voters left him off.

Alex Patton Alex

Thanks for the update. I hadn't seen that part of the story, which makes it all make a little more sense. Dodgers I believe are definitely in the penalty, no?

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman

Russell Martin will cost a lot less than that ("that" being Grandal's salary minus $2 million). The Jays will be picking up about 80% of the tab, leaving the Dodgers to pay 3.6 million. Which I think is about $15 million less than the Brewers will be paying Grandal.

Sam Bucovetsky mrbunnyhead

Just looked at Russell Martin's numbers. He'll cost about $2M less than Grandal, but isn't nearly the hitter or defender and is five years older. Did the Dodgers think they couldn't sign Grandal for one year? Or maybe they assumed.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman

My take this year, as it was last year, is that the major league offices are full of egghead business graduates who grew up reading FanGraphs. They think they know what a win is worth, and how the aging curve degrades the probability of earning wins in the future the way you have in the past. They also know whether they are contending, or whether they are not, which decreases demand precipitously. Once you have only a few teams looking at each position, chances are that there are other nearly as good options who may cost less, driving down the best player's price. This is true no matter how much money the teams are taking in, especially given all the draft picks and international signing money that gets shifted around as compensation. 

What seems out of whack here is the amount of the qualifying offer. If Wilson Ramos is worth $19 for two years, Grandal earning $17.75 for one doesn't seem like a terrible injustice.  But I agree it could end up being a sweet deal for the Brewers. The big question at this point is who else is looking for a catcher and is willing to pay? It seems like of those 29 teams there was only one.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman

Not to beat around the bush, the conclusion of the essay:

And this deal has one further dangerous effect for fans of all 30 teams. There has been significant discontent among players over free agent contracts in the last two winters, including mention of the deadly “C” word, Collusion. If one of the best catchers in baseball can barely get a deal above his qualifying offer, it’s right and proper for the players’ association to be upset. Deals like this vastly increasethe probability of labor strife and potentially a strike. If the rest of the winter proceeds along these lines, the league could be headed for catastrophe when the current Collective Bargaining Agreement expires in 2021.

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 11

Robert Arthur today at BP:

Despite all that production and the positive signs going forward, he agreed to a one-year deal that barely exceeded the value of the $17.75 million qualifying offer he rejected from the Dodgers. It’s hard to fault the Brewers for signing him; this will go down as one of the best contracts of the 2018-2019 offseason. It marks the second consecutive offseason in which the Brewers have successfully taken advantage of what might be the new market inefficiency—free agents. What I can’t understand is why 29 other teams didn’t make a better offer.

baseballprospectus.com

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 11

Signed a one-year deal with the Brewers for $18.25 million.

Too old to get a long-term contract to his liking?

I look forward to reading what BP has to say. In an earlier article at BP I read that Yasmani's pitch-framing skills alone were worth something like 30 runs above average.

Frangraphs, seemingly, has a different take on that.

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 10