Tyler Chatwood Chicago Cubs

Age: 29 (December 16, 1989) | 6' 0" | 185lbs. | Throws: Right P-24 PR-1
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
COL A+ 2015 0 0 0 0 2 2 4.0 3 1 2 5 2.25 1.25 1.38 4.5 11.2 .242 n/a
COL A+ 2016 0 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 1 0 2 3 0.00 0.60 0.40 3.6 5.4 .083 n/a
COL AA 2016 0 1 0 0 1 1 4.1 4 0 1 3 0.00 1.15 1.04 2.1 6.2 .303 n/a
COL NL 2016 12 9 0 0 27 27 158.0 147 15 70 117 3.87 1.37 1.29 4.0 6.7 .287 57/17/26 8 9
COL NL 2017 8 15 1 0 33 25 147.1 136 20 77 120 4.70 1.45 1.39 4.7 7.3 .282 58/20/22 -0 4
CHC AAA 2018 0 1 0 0 2 2 6.2 5 0 10 4 9.45 2.25 1.50 13.5 5.4 .253 n/a
CHC NL 2018 4 6 0 0 24 20 103.2 92 9 95 85 5.30 1.80 1.48 8.2 7.4 .286 54/18/28 -15 -7
CHC NL 2019 4 1 1 1 21 3 46.0 43 7 26 36 4.30 1.50 1.45 5.1 7.0 .278 53/27/20 1 1
Career 8yrs 48 53 3 1 175 136 796.2 797 83 421 559 4.44 1.53 1.42 4.8 6.3 .297 n/a
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Hmm. Buried in parens in an article today at BP:

(There’s also a crazy incentive in Chatwood’s contract: his salary in 2020 jumps up by $2 million if he receives a Cy Young vote in 2018 or 2019, and it jumps up by $4 million if he receives a Cy Young vote in both of those seasons. An enterprising member of the BBWAA with a lucky ballot draw, no moral compunction about shipping off an unearned fifth-place vote, and Chatwood’s agent’s contact info could very easily work out a neat little deal in order to enrich both himself and the Cubs’ newest starting pitcher. I think a 50/50 split would be fair to both parties.)

OTOH, the Cy Young ballots, like those for MVP, are made public now.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 11 '17

And all those grounders with Baez and Russell up the middle,

van wilhoite LVW
Dec 7 '17

Instead of a $5 pitcher (in 5x5), he moves easily to double figures. I would guess the range to be $12-$16.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 7 '17

Cubs sign him for 3/38M. 

How will leaving Coors change his value?

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Dec 7 '17

I wondered how often this happened. No. 1 on the list, Walter Johnson had a shutout and a save (reverse engineered) in 16 different seasons.

Since 2000 it has been done 29 times. Just two pitchers have done it more than once, however: Josh Collmenter and Kelvim Escobar.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Aug 10 '17

First player to record a shutout and a save in the same season since --

Matt Andriese last year.

If you know that already, it's because you read the Closer Monkey before you come here.

Alex Patton Alex
Aug 10 '17

Ah great analysis, Peter, too bad the Guide cant do this for a lot more players.

carter carter GypsySoul
Apr 21 '17

Please release Kyle Freeland from the depths.  Freeland was the Rockies #1 pick in the 2014 draft and is their current #8 prospect.  He has an outside chance at the #4/#5 rotation slot now that Jeff Hoffman was sent to the minors.

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Mar 24 '17

For some reason, which I cannot figure, there is no Tyler Chatwood profile in the Fantasy Baseball Guide 2017. Chatwood is a pitch-to-contact groundballer who had success last year while struggling mightily with his control in the game's hitters park. Forget about him, I know I did.

Just kidding! The fact is that when healthy Chatwood has been a pretty successful pitcher, given that unpromising profile. This is doubly surprising because he doesn't throw many swings and misses, and doesn't induce many infield flies, so his whole game is the ground ball. As you would expect, he ranked seventh in Double Plays Thrown last year, though only 30th in Outs from Double Plays. So there is some explanation for his success.

The problem is, everything we know about him is based on 27 starts last year and 20 starts in 2013. Both offer good ERA, bad WHIP, and some Wins but few strikeouts. That's enough to earn a small profit both years, and offer enough sample to suggest, well, maybe he could do it again. In fact, pitchers with this profile usually earn my recommendation as potential big earners, the way Tanner Roark, Rick Porcello and JA Happ did last year. But I don't look at it that way with Chatwood.

That's because Roark, Porcello and Happ, while not strikeout pitchers, strike out more guys than Chatwood has. Roark is the guy who didn't strike out many before last year, but then he boosted his rate above seven, something Chatwood hasn't done. If Chatwood can do that, his chances increase.

But Chatwood also walks more than those guys, and while Roark wasn't a strikeout guy in the past, he was pretty stingy with the bases on balls (which Chatwood is not). Roark had the advantage last year of the seventh most outs on Double Plays (he threw the third most Double Plays, too). On top of which, Washingon (Roark's team last year) ranked seventh in Defensive Efficiency, while Colorado was fourth from last.

Plus, that ballpark! While it's true that Chatwood is less affected by the light air in Coors than strikeout artists and fly ball pitchers, he didn't totally shut down the long ball last year. So, if he suffers an uptick in hits allowed, let's say it's because of bad luck, because of all the walks, the ballpark, and the lack of a strikeout pitch, the results could get dire in a hurry.

Which means, his skills suggest high floor, but low ceiling, when everything is going right. Always with the danger that some bad luck could cause him to implode.

Given the space limitations in the Guide, this could have been reduced to: Talented pitcher without big pitching skills, relies on the ground ball and double plays to stay out of as much trouble as he can. Proved last year he was back after late 2014 TJ, healthwise, and could be a big plus for the beleaguered-always Rockies in real life, but way too much fantasy risk to roster unless he's traded away from Coors. Key stat: Career Home ERA 5.05, Career Road ERA 3.25.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 9 '17