Robbie Ray Seattle Mariners

Age: 30 (October 01, 1991) | 6' 2" | 215lbs. | Throws: Left P-24 PH-1
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
ARI A+ 2018 0 0 0 0 1 1 2.1 5 2 0 3 7.71 2.14 3.43 0.0 0.0 .456 n/a
ARI AAA 2018 0 1 0 0 1 1 4.1 3 0 1 9 2.08 0.92 0.81 2.1 18.7 .482 n/a
ARI NL 2018 6 2 0 0 24 24 123.2 97 19 70 165 3.93 1.35 1.30 5.1 12.0 .298 39/22/39 2 8
ARI NL 2019 12 8 0 0 33 33 174.0 150 30 84 235 4.34 1.34 1.36 4.3 12.2 .319 37/26/37 7 13
ARI NL 2020 1 4 0 0 7 7 31.0 31 9 31 43 7.84 2.00 1.94 9.0 12.5 .331 19/21/60 -23 -12
TOR AL 2020 1 1 0 0 5 4 20.1 22 4 14 25 4.87 1.77 1.72 6.2 11.1 .358 31/29/40 -5 -1
TOR AL 2021 13 7 0 0 32 32 193.0 150 33 52 248 2.84 1.05 1.17 2.4 11.6 .283 37/19/44 29 30
SEA AL 2022 4 3 0 0 8 8 48.2 40 7 18 50 4.62 1.19 1.22 3.3 9.2 .274 35/22/43 3 4
Career 9yrs 66 61 0 0 201 197 1082.2 955 163 471 1340 4.03 1.32 1.33 3.9 11.1 .316 n/a
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The Mariners have also had at least one ZOOM session with Seiya Suzuki. 

Tim McLeod tlmcleod
Dec 14 '21

Also, did they arrive as a serious contender? They had a -51 run differential, about the same as the Tigers'.

I do think they did well to add add Adam Frazier.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 14 '21

Conforto doesn't seem to be a match at all. The Mariners have three young, highly touted outfielders - Kyle Lewis, who should return from a torn meniscus in spring training, Jared Kelenic, who struggled during this time in the majors last season, and Julio Rodriguez, who is a top 5 prospect with both power and hitting ability. Rodriguez hit 362/461/546 in half a season at AA last year after slashing 325/410/581 in hi-A.  He should be up by mid-season if his production continues in AAA. That's in addition to Mitch Haniger, who was the teams best power hitter last season as well as prior to his testicular injury.

Adding an OF makes no sense. Adding another starter or a 3B makes perfect sense, though.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Dec 14 '21

Jim Bowden's pre-lockout grade at The Athletic for the Mariners:

Seattle Mariners

Grade: A

Trades: Acquired 2B/OF Adam Frazier from Padres for LHP Ray Kerr and OF Corey Rosier

Free agents: LHP Robbie Ray, 5 years/$115 million

Hires: Hitting coach and director of hitting strategy Jarret DeHart (promoted); hitting coach Tony Arnerich (promoted)

The Mariners proved last season that they’d arrived as a serious contender in the AL West and they started this offseason with a splash signing, landing AL Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray on a five-year, $115 million deal. Ray, 30, went 13-7 last season with a 2.84 ERA and 248 strikeouts in 32 starts and 193 1/3 innings, leading the AL in the last four categories. He finally fixed his delivery in 2021 and found a consistent release point, which allowed him to post a career-best and league-leading 1.045 WHIP. The Mariners made another good deal by acquiring second baseman Adam Frazier in a trade with the Padres. Frazier was leading the NL in hits when the Pirates traded him to San Diego at the deadline, but he faded in the second half. When the lockout ends, expect another splash from the Mariners, who are looking to add a second premium free agent such as Trevor Story, Kris Bryant or perhaps Michael Conforto. They are a team to watch the minute the lockout ends. 

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 14 '21
My bid values were considerably higher than these last year. I got him in 2 of 3 leagues, spending $7 and $10 respectively. I didn't get him in the league in which he went $18, although I should have. I had him priced at $14 raw and $22 with inflation in that league and was gun-shy based on where I got him in my other leagues. I'm sure if I had paid $14 for him in those, $19 would have been an easy bid.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Dec 9 '21

Going through my first pass of 2022 bids and forgot how volatile Ray is. I also forgot 2021 was his second breakout season.

Mike Gianella MikeG
Dec 8 '21

Maybe I am the opposite of Phil with respect to pitcher extensions.  Whatever I think is best, I generally go for $5 and one year less.  I'd keep Ray at $7 and hope for a super bargain.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Dec 4 '21

I'd slot Nicky Lopez at $1 way ahead of Gleyber Torres at $15. 

Scott Shea SJS
Dec 4 '21

I'd say $12 ... but then I'm the guy stuck going into the 3rd year of a 2019 extension to $12x on Patrick Corbin (we iced 2019).

Looked like a great move after 2019 ... but then 2020 made me a bit leery coming into 2021 ... and now I'm likely to have to eat $6 next year to let him go and free up a roster spot for a more promising arm (or a $1 Corbin).

But if you're really concerned, someone else in your league is probably still bullish - so you're essentially gambling on him having a good April/May, in which case with him being a 12y you can probably get some great value back.   FWIW his career April/May ERA is below his overall ERA, so that's a decent bet.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Dec 4 '21

My only question is do I extend him to $12 from $7 or do I consider all pitchers to have an expiration date on the short-term horizon.  It's only a 5 keeper league, so going cheap usually helps.  My other keepers are Giolito $17 (under contract through 23) and Gleyber Torres $15. I'm considering among Nate Pearson $5, Nicky Lopez $1, Yasmani Grandal $18, and Reid Detmers $5 among my other choices.

 I will get 4 keepers if I decide to retain my 3 top minor leaguers, instead of 2. Spencer Torkelson is a definite, and Jordan Groshans and Jasson Dominguez are worth considering. I also have Daniel Lynch, but I think he's going to be a $1-3 pitchers, so he's not worth thinking about.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Dec 4 '21