Max Scherzer Los Angeles Dodgers

Age: 37 (July 27, 1984) | 6' 3" | 215lbs. | Throws: Right P-33 PH-2
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
WAS NL 2017 16 6 0 0 31 31 200.1 126 22 55 268 2.52 0.90 0.93 2.5 12.0 .259 37/17/47 42 39
WAS NL 2018 18 7 0 0 33 33 220.1 150 23 51 300 2.53 0.91 0.95 2.1 12.3 .283 34/18/48 41 40
WAS NL 2019 11 7 0 0 27 27 172.0 144 18 33 243 2.93 1.03 1.09 1.7 12.7 .342 41/21/38 27 28
WAS NL 2020 5 4 0 0 12 12 67.0 70 10 23 92 3.76 1.39 1.44 3.1 12.4 .382 33/27/40 12 18
WAS NL 2021 8 4 0 0 19 19 111.0 71 18 28 147 2.76 0.89 1.01 2.3 11.9 .242 32/17/51 22 21
LAD NL 2021 7 0 0 0 11 11 68.0 48 5 8 89 1.99 0.82 0.88 1.1 11.8 .295 35/21/44 19 16
Career 14yrs 190 97 0 0 407 398 2533.0 2072 287 677 3020 3.16 1.09 1.12 2.4 10.7 .302 n/a
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Scott Miller in the Times: 

...It was only the fifth time that two teams with 100 or more regular season wins played in a winner-take-all postseason game, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. And the team with fewer regular season victories was the winner in three of the previous four games. Now, make that four of five.

“They would not lose at the end,” Scherzer said of the Giants. “We played unbelievable baseball down the end and felt we were going to win the division and they would not lose. That just shows you how great of a team they were. That’s a 107-win team? That’s nuts.”

While the Giants will go home for the winter, the Dodgers will move on. And despite starting Game 3 of this series, and closing Game 5, Scherzer remains on track to start Game 1 of the N.L.C.S. on Saturday, according to Roberts.

“It’s like being a little kid again,” Scherzer said, grinning, of October. “You just pitch whenever you get told. Every single day you have a chance to help the team and you just go out and pitch. It’s a lot like being a 12-year-old again.”


https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/15/sports/baseball/dodgers-giants-nlds.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytsports

Alex Patton Alex

There is a book called "Thinking in Bets" that also would advocate to follow the numbers. It's an interesting read, written by a poker player on making decisions the way poker players do.

Kent Ostby Seadogs

It's an interesting problem. The nerds have numbers to support their decisions, so maybe they know for sure that if you pinch-hit for Scherzer 1000 times maybe you win 550 times and lose 450 times, which makes pinch hitting the smart decision. 

But the games played are a small sample, and part of the value of them is the narrative, which defies piling fairly small advantages onto small sample sizes and prefers juicy emotional stories of redemption and fulfillment. So pulling Scherzer can be the nerd's right decision, but a bad decision for all folks watching on the big screen in the hometown bar, and both will be validated/invalidated by something just a little more edgy than a coin flip.

Do hearts beat nerds? Is that the question we're actually asking? 

Get on the wrong side of that and the general manager (or whatever they're called now) will be fired.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman

In Fangraphs, Ben Clemens basically argues that Roberts made a bad decision in leaving Scherzer in rather than pulling him for a PH.

That's a nerd argument.

Ask Craig Counsell how pulling your dominant starter early for a PH worked out. 

It's like managers everywhere saw Cash pull Blake Snell last year and nodded vigorously in agreement.  It's a disease, the overmanaging in the playoffs, though my good friend thinks the nerds upstairs are actually making the decisions.

Could it be so?

Mike Landau ML-

It's not often that the losing pitcher has such a decisive edge in Game Score.

Rafael DeversJoc PedersonKevin KiermaierMax ScherzerIan Anderson

Yesterday's Top Performers

Pitchers:

Max Scherzer* (LAD): 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 10 K, 76 GmSc

Ian Anderson* (ATL): 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K, 67 GmSc

Alex Wood (SFG): 4.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K, 62 GmSc

* - pictured above

Alex Patton Alex

Stathead Spotlight: Max Scherzer

Lowest ERA through first 9 starts with a team (since 1913, AL/NL)

NameTeam Start EndERAIP
Max ScherzerLAD2021‑08‑04 2021‑09‑18 0.7858.0
Dana FillingimBSN1918‑05‑091918‑06‑220.7980.0
Fernando ValenzuelaLAD1981‑04‑091981‑05‑180.9179.0

See the full list at Stathead.com's Pitching Span Finder

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 19

Far more exciting than 3,000 K, he was well on his way to a Maddux!  92 pitches through eight. 

Justin Bruihl, the pressure on, got three groundouts on six pitches.

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 13

He's making a claim for the Cy Young Award despite not being near the top in IP this year. Missed a perfect game by giving up a hit in the later innings, ultimately to be pulled.  BTW, he also racked up his 3,000th K in the same game.  He's got one more big contact left in him.  Maybe he'll get 3 years given that his health doesn't seem at risk right now.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Sep 13

At the rate he's going, he'll earn more for the Dodgers than he did for the Nats.

Tuesday, September 7
Stathead logo & link to Stathead.com home page
Thairo EstradaBrad MillerMarcus SemienMax ScherzerA.J. Alexy

Yesterday's Top Performers

Pitchers:

Max Scherzer* (LAD): 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 13 K, 81 GmSc

A.J. Alexy* (TEX): 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K, 75 GmSc

Hyun Jin Ryu (TOR): 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K, 72 GmSc

Zack Wheeler (PHI): 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 9 K, 71 GmSc

Kevin Gausman (SFG): 7.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K, 63 GmSc

View All of Yesterday's Pitchers at Baseball-Reference.com

* - pictured above

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 7

Money wise, the Dodgers pay for both Turner and Scherzer's 2021 though probably not Scherzer's deferred payments. Turner is also arbitration eligible in 2022 so will be back with the Dodgers if they tender him (which barring injury is a no brainer). 

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Jul 30