Matt Chapman (3B) OAK - Dec. 14

Chapman underwent surgery Friday on his left shoulder. The procedure was a distal clavicle resection procedure, and he will be ready to swing in six weeks, according to the team's press release.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: According to the A's, Chapman felt problems with the shoulder in offseason workouts and was evaluated by the team this week. He'll begin physical therapy next week.

I'm working on Big Prices for the Guide. Today I have Matt Chapman with a price of $20. What do you think?

I think he also gets a lot of credit for playing where he plays.  This year's park factor on B-R.com for Oakland is 91/92.  

Right in the middle of the WAR race that LynchMob chronicles under Betts. The only one of eleven that no one would have guessed before the season. dWAR is what put him there.

Suppose his dWAR next year is low single digits, which is entirely possible? Doesn't that tell us that dWAR remains quite suspect?

Not to say Chapman didn't have a great season with the glove. I'm sure he did. 

Just saying next year he'll be great again.

Leads the league in B-R dWAR at the break and it's not even close.

1) Chapman OAK 2.6

2) Simmons LAA 1.8

3) Jones DET 1.8

4) Bader STL 1.6

4) Cain 1.6

6) Wong STL 1.6

7) Lindor CLE 1.6

8) Kiner-Falefa TEX 1.6

8) Russell CHC 1.6

10) Swanson ATL 1.4

A curious list, no?

Per Wise Guy:

Matt Chapman Number 137 on our list of LAP hitters, will hit somewhere between .197 and .257 (his last two years in the minors), pop 25 HRs and take some walks. $12, one more in OBP leagues.

The prices were too low early, especially in the first 2 rounds. Chapman and another player came up right after our long break and the money flew off the table. People noticed what they often notice when they don't spend their money early: that the talent is dwindling and there isn't much left to spend on. Chapman was a bidding war between the winner, Cockcroft and one other bidder who believed. 

My raw bid limit is $13.

I like the explanation, and in an OBP league would be with you. But this is a guy who misses too much when he swings. He's young, there is potential improvement in his skills, but at $22 you're paying for all the possible improvement. If he gets better but not all the way? You lose. 

The explanation:

3B-Matt Chapman ($22): $8 more than I projected, but Chapman went after Gallo and was arguably the last hot corner power supply. ESPN’s Tristan Cockcroft told me late he allocated $20 for the young Athletic, making my purchase feel a lot better. Luckily, I had the money. Ideally it pays off

Defense doesn't count.  Someone forgot to tell two of them.  (It takes 2 to set such a crazy price, unless it was a crickets bid.)