Manny Machado San Diego Padres

Age: 30 (July 06, 1992) | 6' 3" | 218lbs. | Bats: Right 3B-144 DH-3
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
BAL AL 2018 96 365 48 115 45 51 21 1 24 65 8 1 .315 .387 .575 11 12 .311 38/17/45 27 23
LAD NL 2018 66 267 36 73 25 53 14 2 13 42 6 1 .273 .338 .487 8 18 .296 42/19/38 14 13
SD NL 2019 156 587 81 150 65 128 21 2 32 85 5 3 .256 .334 .462 10 19 .274 42/17/41 20 19
SD NL 2020 60 224 44 68 26 37 12 1 16 47 6 3 .304 .370 .580 10 15 .297 37/22/41 45 41
SD NL 2021 153 564 92 157 63 102 31 2 28 106 12 3 .278 .347 .489 10 16 .290 39/20/41 33 31
SD NL 2022 140 537 92 159 60 121 34 1 30 95 8 1 .296 .367 .531 10 20 .332 37/20/42 33 31
Career 11yrs 1435 5632 831 1584 510 1057 309 18 281 846 84 34 .281 .341 .492 8 17 .300 n/a
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HOLY COW!!!

I sure hope he does better than .273/.338/.487 ...

And I hope he's OK playing 3B ... if so, he's a GREAT FIT!

If he's all in, I'm all in :-)

Howard Lynch LynchMob
Feb 19 '19

Now to the Padres on a 10-year-deal, with a 5-year opt-out.

Mike Dean TMU2009
Feb 19 '19

If I were Manny, I'd say give me a $40 million 1 year deal and I am there.  Or a $35 million deal with a player option for year 2 at $30 million.

Otherwise no reason to discount what should be the best year or two of a potential long-term deal.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Feb 5 '19

Interesting discussion on MLB network over whether Manny would accept a one-year deal in the range of $35 million just to get onto a team and look to sign a long term deal next winter.

A good perspective - there are very very few teams that have the resources to envision a 8-10 year window of excellence that would justify the kind of long term deal that Harper and Machado want.

If you're a GM for a mid-market team who thinks you can win next year if you add the right part ... you might see a 3-4 year max window given the pre-arb and arb eligible talent you have and what you envision you'll need to pay for them as they go through their arb years and then become FA eligible.

So by year 4 or 5 ... that $30+ million a year contract might be limiting your ability to resign your homegrown guys ... and turn into a disgruntled 6+ WAR guy on a 70 win team for a couple years, barring a trade.  And that's assuming he stays healthy.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Feb 4 '19

Baseball most certainly needs, at the very least, some changes around the edges to deter tanking.  Two obvious steps would be:

1) To follow the NBA example and make the draft order lottery based, or better yet follow the Roto league example and award the top overall pick to the Wilcard losers or the teams that just-missed the playoffs.

2) Institute a minimum opening day team salary floor that must be maintained through, say, early June.  Then when you bring up the Acunas or Vlad Juniors you can trade or waive the vets you carried.

I think this would go a long way towards resolving some intractable issues in the game.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Feb 2 '19

In PR terms, it's a lot easier to sell your fans you don't want to give a huge contract to Lance Lynn or Neil Walker than Harper and Machado.

Mike Landau ML-
Feb 2 '19

I realize the essay I link to under Harper is so depressing a lot of people won't read it. Here's why it's depressing, the last four paragraphs.

Baseball owners and the abacus boys would do well not to grow self-satisfied. Attendance took a decided drop last year, and the lack of a competitive market has set players in pro sports’ most powerful union to grumbling. Christian Yelich, this year’s National League M.V.P., stopped by The New York Times last week and said players are talking about the strange sloth in the free-agent market.

“They’re two of the best players that we have in the game,” he said. “The process hasn’t played out.”

Last winter, amid another slow free-agent market, Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen tossed a high fastball at the chin of owners. “Maybe we have to go on strike, to be honest with you,” he said then.

Perhaps a knockdown pitch is the best way to wake up a team of complacent billionaires.

Alex Patton Alex
Feb 2 '19

Most hard-hit balls last year (95+ mph):

Manny Machado 257

Nick Markakis 229

Francisco Lindor 228

JD Martinez 225

Christian Yelich 224

Nick Markakis?

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 17 '18

Hitter No. 46 in $5x5 (both leagues).

2018 Statcast averages

HIP: 

Avg Exit Velocity: 

Avg HR Distance: 

Avg Launch Angle: 

No Statcast averages for Manny (at least in November).

He didn't distinguish himself -- at the plate or behind a mic -- in the World Series, but he showed, if there was ever any doubt, that he should have been a shortstop all these years.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 16 '18
Fangraphs:   WAR 6.2   Bat 35   Field -5   Run 1    HR/FB 16%    Pull 38%    Hard 39%
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 16 '18