Manny Machado San Diego Padres

Age: 30 (July 06, 1992) | 6' 3" | 218lbs. | Bats: Right 3B-144 DH-3
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
BAL AL 2018 96 365 48 115 45 51 21 1 24 65 8 1 .315 .387 .575 11 12 .311 38/17/45 27 23
LAD NL 2018 66 267 36 73 25 53 14 2 13 42 6 1 .273 .338 .487 8 18 .296 42/19/38 14 13
SD NL 2019 156 587 81 150 65 128 21 2 32 85 5 3 .256 .334 .462 10 19 .274 42/17/41 20 19
SD NL 2020 60 224 44 68 26 37 12 1 16 47 6 3 .304 .370 .580 10 15 .297 37/22/41 45 41
SD NL 2021 153 564 92 157 63 102 31 2 28 106 12 3 .278 .347 .489 10 16 .290 39/20/41 33 31
SD NL 2022 140 537 92 159 60 121 34 1 30 95 8 1 .296 .367 .531 10 20 .332 37/20/42 33 31
Career 11yrs 1435 5632 831 1584 510 1057 309 18 281 846 84 34 .281 .341 .492 8 17 .300 n/a
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Allowing a window to allow him to sign long-term actually makes it less likely that he'd be flipped to the Yankees.  The WS are looking for a target of 2019-22 to contend, I would imagine.  In order to do that, they need to sign Manny through that period and likely longer because he is going to want a Giancarlo Stanton-type deal with 10-12 years and perhaps a couple opt-out windows.  Why not give the long-term signing window?  Seems silly.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Dec 15 '17

Yet another story to remind me why Peter Angelos convinced me to renounce my Orioles fan-ship.  Baltimore is having trouble getting legit offers for Machado because they won't allow teams a negotiating window for a possible extension and because Angelos is hellbent on ensuring he is not flipped to the Yankees.  Is the statement below attributed to the White Sox even legal, that is to write in future provisions to a trade deal? It would be rejected as "future considerations" in my Roto leagues...

"One major factor influencing talks is Baltimore owner Peter Angelos’ insistence that Machado not end up with the Yankees in 2018.  This naturally rules out a direct trade with New York, though Angelos also doesn’t want a scenario where Machado is dealt to a team that would flip him to the Yankees for prospects, be it before the July trade deadline or even later this offseason.  These parameters would seem to limit the Orioles’ list of potential trade partners to only contending teams, and maybe even to contenders that would seemingly have no chance of a midseason collapse and subsequent deadline fire sale (though obviously one can’t know for sure what would-be contenders could be in for a nightmare season, a la the 2017 Giants.)

The White Sox aren’t expected to contend for even a couple of seasons yet, and thus would seem like potential candidates to deal Machado in order to further hasten their rebuild.  The Sox are apparently willing to address Angelos’ concerns, as Nightengale writes that “if the Orioles even wanted it in writing that they’d keep him around until at least mid-summer,” Chicago would be fine with that assurance.  This would be quite an unusual type of trade provisio, of course, and one that Angelos may still not be fine with if he wants to eliminate any chance of Machado wearing Yankee pinstripes in 2018."

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Dec 15 '17

Applying the same logic to his Bavg that I did with Avisail Garcia last week, Machado should be hitting around .278 this year.  That holds all else constant, but raises his BABIP to his historical levels, ~.290.  

 ZiPS, Steamer, and Depth Charts respectively project his average to be .278, .295, .287 the rest of the way.  BP puts it at .279.

Sadly, with BA way down in the AL this year, even Machado's .264 would be 3rd for teams in my league.  .278 would be 1st by a nice margin.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Sep 20 '17

his wxOBA of .364 is right in line with his 2015-2016 numbers. 

I expect another $30 season from him next year.

Mike Gianella MikeG
Sep 20 '17

Heading into yesterday Machado leads all of MLB with the most batted balls with an exit velocity of at least 100 MPH.

Not Stanton, not Judge....Machado.

If his BABIP was at his career norms, he could be in the MVP conversation when you consider his defense.

And still only 25.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Sep 20 '17

Don't look now, but he has sole possession of the team HR lead on a night when Schoop hit a HR too.  Before tonight's two HR game, his 2nd half was 333/361/578.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Aug 30 '17

Seven other big fies.

Scioscia's comment: "Obviously a good hitters' park. We hit the ball good tonight; they did too. They got the last big hit."

Showalter's: "It's like a game where everybody's dunking."

Alex Patton Alex
Aug 19 '17

Sitting on .215/.283/.428 after July 6. After tonite's 3 HR 7 RBI game he sits at .264/.319/.494. I'm looking forward to seeing THIS Manny Machado play when I'm in Baltimore a week from this coming Monday. Be in Philly and DC the 2 days before.

van wilhoite LVW
Aug 19 '17

Grand slam in seventh wins it for the O's in Anaheim. Manny's slugged .531 and driven in 18 runs in his last 20 games.

Alex Patton Alex
Aug 8 '17