Justin Verlander Houston Astros

Age: 37 (February 20, 1983) | 6' 5" | 225lbs. | Throws: Right P-34
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
DET AL 2006 17 9 0 0 30 30 186.0 187 21 60 124 3.63 1.33 1.34 2.9 6.0 .293 n/a 20
DET AL 2007 18 6 0 0 32 32 201.2 181 20 67 183 3.66 1.23 1.21 3.0 8.2 .294 n/a 25 23
DET AL 2008 11 17 0 0 33 33 201.0 195 18 87 163 4.84 1.40 1.32 3.9 7.3 .305 n/a 1 6
DET AL 2009 19 9 0 0 35 35 240.0 219 20 63 269 3.45 1.18 1.17 2.4 10.1 .328 n/a 31 30
DET AL 2010 18 9 0 0 33 33 224.0 190 14 71 219 3.38 1.17 1.10 2.9 8.8 .299 n/a 26 25
DET AL 2011 24 5 0 0 34 34 251.0 174 24 57 250 2.40 0.92 0.95 2.0 9.0 .247 40/18/42 52 44
DET AL 2012 17 8 0 0 33 33 238.0 192 19 60 239 2.65 1.06 1.05 2.3 9.0 .286 42/22/36 35 33
DET AL 2013 13 12 0 0 34 34 218.0 212 19 75 217 3.47 1.32 1.28 3.1 9.0 .327 38/23/39 12 17
DET AL 2014 15 12 0 0 32 32 206.0 223 18 65 159 4.54 1.40 1.37 2.8 6.9 .327 40/20/41 -1 5
DET AAA 2015 0 0 0 0 2 2 8.1 10 0 2 12 3.24 1.44 1.32 2.2 13.0 .465 n/a
DET AL 2015 5 8 0 0 20 20 133.0 113 13 32 113 3.38 1.09 1.12 2.2 7.6 .276 35/20/46 11 12
DET AL 2016 16 9 0 0 34 34 227.1 171 30 57 254 3.05 1.00 1.08 2.3 10.1 .267 34/19/48 34 34
DET AL 2017 10 8 0 0 28 28 172.0 153 23 67 176 3.82 1.28 1.28 3.5 9.2 .296 34/24/42 11 14
HOU AL 2017 5 0 0 0 5 5 34.0 17 4 5 43 1.06 0.65 0.75 1.3 11.4 .197 32/20/48 14 11
HOU AL 2018 16 9 0 0 34 34 214.0 156 28 37 290 2.52 0.90 1.01 1.6 12.2 .290 29/20/51 42 40
HOU AL 2019 21 6 0 0 34 34 223.0 137 36 42 300 2.58 0.80 0.95 1.7 12.1 .235 36/19/45 55 49
HOU AL 2020 1 0 0 0 1 1 6.0 3 2 1 7 3.00 0.67 1.08 1.5 10.5 .092 62/0/38 6 5
Career 16yrs 226 129 0 0 454 454 2986.1 2538 310 851 3013 3.33 1.13 1.15 2.6 9.1 .292 n/a
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Has to be higher.  He's averaged $33 the last three years.  I think you have to pay for the aces.  $33 is fair despite his age.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Nov 18 '18
I'm working on Big Prices for the Guide. Today I have Justin Verlander with a price of $29. What do you think?
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Nov 17 '18

The Houston writers were very fair on their Cy Young ballots. Both put Snell second after Verlander.

The Tampa writers both had Kluber second after Snell.

They knew who the competition was. 

And now, getting to the point, what do we bid for a mid-30-something pitcher with all that mileage? 

Alex Patton Alex
Nov 16 '18

His ERA at the break, after giving up four homers yesterday (to the Tigers of all people): 2.29.

Verlander gave up two other hits over six innings, walked nobody and struck out 12. With nine wins, 172 SO and a 0.84 WHIP in 137.1 IP, he's earned $31 in 4x4 and $27 in 5x5.

In the land of Statcast:

1,319 four-seam FB have averaged 94.9 (93.1 is the MLB average).

Avg Spin Rate: 2,607 (2,264)

Avg Exit Velocity: 88.7 (88.6)

Has his spin rate increased since he joined the Astros? The results stats suggest it has.

Alex Patton Alex
Jul 16 '18

His ERA at the end of May: 1.11.

Almost a full run better than Corey Kluber (2.02).

Alex Patton Alex
Jun 1 '18

Verlander certainly won't miss regular dates with the Indians. They kicked him around a lot. Since 2015 (I back-enveloped this quickly), 2-10 overall team record and 5.76 ERA. 

scott pianowski ballfour
Feb 28 '18

I wonder if starting the season with home games in Houston ... instead of Detroit ... might help lead to a quicker start?  He probably pitched on a lot of 45 degree nights in April in the past.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Feb 27 '18

From the Wise Guy (wiseguybaseball.com):



For four years in a row, he’s been bad at the
start. In 2015 he didn’t start until June, but his
first two months produced a 4.86 ERA. In the
other three years, his ERA for the whole first half
has been 4.56. That’s a lot of pitching for a fluke.
I’ve heard it said several times that his velocity
starts off slower and gets faster as he goes, and
that was true the last two years, a 2 mph bump in
2016 and a 1 mph increase in 2017, from April to
October. But still, one mph equals 278 points in
ERA? That takes a heap o’ believing.

Verlander was throwing cutters, like ten of
them, in the final game of the World Series. He
rarely threw it during the season (less than 1%).
That’s ballsy. He helped bury my Tout Wars team
last year, but watching him at the end he looked
like the perfect pitcher, great pitch after great
pitch. I think it’s more that he ramps up his
intensity rather than his velocity. Maybe that level
can’t be maintained for six months, but I sure
wish he’d try. Tough bid.
$25





Alex Patton Alex
Feb 27 '18