Justin Verlander Houston Astros

Age: 37 (February 20, 1983) | 6' 5" | 225lbs. | Throws: Right P-34
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
DET AL 2006 17 9 0 0 30 30 186.0 187 21 60 124 3.63 1.33 1.34 2.9 6.0 .293 n/a 20
DET AL 2007 18 6 0 0 32 32 201.2 181 20 67 183 3.66 1.23 1.21 3.0 8.2 .294 n/a 25 23
DET AL 2008 11 17 0 0 33 33 201.0 195 18 87 163 4.84 1.40 1.32 3.9 7.3 .305 n/a 1 6
DET AL 2009 19 9 0 0 35 35 240.0 219 20 63 269 3.45 1.18 1.17 2.4 10.1 .328 n/a 31 30
DET AL 2010 18 9 0 0 33 33 224.0 190 14 71 219 3.38 1.17 1.10 2.9 8.8 .299 n/a 26 25
DET AL 2011 24 5 0 0 34 34 251.0 174 24 57 250 2.40 0.92 0.95 2.0 9.0 .247 40/18/42 52 44
DET AL 2012 17 8 0 0 33 33 238.0 192 19 60 239 2.65 1.06 1.05 2.3 9.0 .286 42/22/36 35 33
DET AL 2013 13 12 0 0 34 34 218.0 212 19 75 217 3.47 1.32 1.28 3.1 9.0 .327 38/23/39 12 17
DET AL 2014 15 12 0 0 32 32 206.0 223 18 65 159 4.54 1.40 1.37 2.8 6.9 .327 40/20/41 -1 5
DET AAA 2015 0 0 0 0 2 2 8.1 10 0 2 12 3.24 1.44 1.32 2.2 13.0 .465 n/a
DET AL 2015 5 8 0 0 20 20 133.0 113 13 32 113 3.38 1.09 1.12 2.2 7.6 .276 35/20/46 11 12
DET AL 2016 16 9 0 0 34 34 227.1 171 30 57 254 3.05 1.00 1.08 2.3 10.1 .267 34/19/48 34 34
DET AL 2017 10 8 0 0 28 28 172.0 153 23 67 176 3.82 1.28 1.28 3.5 9.2 .296 34/24/42 11 14
HOU AL 2017 5 0 0 0 5 5 34.0 17 4 5 43 1.06 0.65 0.75 1.3 11.4 .197 32/20/48 14 11
HOU AL 2018 16 9 0 0 34 34 214.0 156 28 37 290 2.52 0.90 1.01 1.6 12.2 .290 29/20/51 42 40
HOU AL 2019 21 6 0 0 34 34 223.0 137 36 42 300 2.58 0.80 0.95 1.7 12.1 .235 36/19/45 55 49
HOU AL 2020 1 0 0 0 1 1 6.0 3 2 1 7 3.00 0.67 1.08 1.5 10.5 .092 62/0/38 6 5
Career 16yrs 226 129 0 0 454 454 2986.1 2538 310 851 3013 3.33 1.13 1.15 2.6 9.1 .292 n/a
Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Rotoworld claims he was clocked at 98, and that Verlander himself claimed he was getting hurt by a bad change. Fwiw.
Paul Benninghoff PaulB
Apr 7 '09
Yeah...I did not like what I saw last night. It's time to start worrying.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Apr 7 '09
Sure it's one start, but yeesh.... looked a lot more like 2008 than 2007. (Deep counts, decreased velocity, poor command--good to see him mixing in the curveball a little bit more than I saw last year.)
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Apr 6 '09
When you're talking Justin Verlander, I think it's worth taking a peek at the spring training stats, and they're interesting. A 2.30 ERA in 27 IP. 14 H, 0 HR, 14 SO... 15 BB.

My bid's too low, but I won't be price-enforcing him out of the teens.
Alex Patton Alex
Apr 1 '09
He was frozen at $17 in my A.L.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Mar 31 '09
He could have the exact same season stuff-wise as '08... except Inge and Everett mean his ERA is back under 4.00.

I doubt he goes in the teens, but price enforce up to $20.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Mar 31 '09
Here's the comment on Verlander in the Guide 2009: It seemed early on he was left in just a little too long in a few games, the bullpen would fail, and positive experiences turned sour. He lost 7 of his first 9 starts, too, a confidence breaker. He had a good streak late in the spring, and then it all just fell apart. None of his numbers changed that much from previous years and successes, so believe your eyes. He'll be just fine if he's just a little luckier (and is perhaps handled a little more deftly, or grows into more rigorous handling).
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '09
Notice that his WHIP was worse last year than in 2006, while his Rating (explained in the glossary) was actually better. If his ERA was "lucky" in 2006 -- and to some extent for sure it was -- it was at least as unlucky last year.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 31 '09
I'm with Mike on this one.

The drop in velocity is a bit concerning, but when you were throwing 100 MPH, a drop to 99 or 98 MPH still means you still have top notch fastball.

I think Verlander bounces back to his 2006 and 2007 levels.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 30 '09
I think Verlander's was unlucky in 2008 to an extent. But there are some warning signs over at Fangraphs that may merely be statistical noise but still make me a little nervous.

His velocity on his fastball has dropped 1.5 MPH in the last two years. That could be nothing, but seeing any kind of drop for someone at Verlander's point in the age curve isn't comforting.

The other thing to keep in mind about Verlander's BABIP is that Comerica was the second easiest place to get a base hit last year. The spike in Verlander's BABIP (which actually wasn't that far off of his career norm) might have been a fluke, but he's always going to be dealing with those spacious dimensions as long as he's in Detroit.

Do I think Verlander will bounce back? Probably. But I think a $20-25 season is more likely than the $30-40 season many were expecting in 2008.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 26 '09