Julio Teheran Los Angeles Angels

Age: 29 (January 27, 1991) | 6' 2" | 205lbs. | Throws: Right P-31
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
ATL NL 2015 11 8 0 0 33 33 200.1 189 27 73 171 4.04 1.31 1.33 3.3 7.7 .291 40/24/36 4 10
ATL AAA 2016 0 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 3 0 0 5 1.80 0.60 0.60 0.0 0.0 .248 n/a
ATL NL 2016 7 10 0 0 30 30 188.0 157 22 41 167 3.21 1.05 1.12 2.0 8.0 .271 39/19/42 20 21
ATL NL 2017 11 13 0 0 32 32 188.0 186 31 72 151 4.50 1.37 1.43 3.4 7.2 .290 40/20/40 4 8
ATL NL 2018 9 9 0 0 31 31 175.1 122 26 84 162 3.95 1.17 1.16 4.3 8.3 .224 38/20/42 9 13
ATL NL 2019 10 11 0 0 33 33 174.1 148 22 83 162 3.82 1.33 1.28 4.3 8.4 .277 39/21/40 9 12
Career 9yrs 77 73 0 0 229 226 1357.2 1189 176 458 1184 3.67 1.21 1.24 3.0 7.8 .277 n/a
Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!

It seems to me these summaries show a trend. MLBTR thinks player prices should conform to past WAR earnings. ML teams are willing to pay for extraordinary talent, but think JulioTeheran isn't worth two years. Let's see, they say, what he does this year.

Makes sense to me. 

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 6

By mid-December, when most of the elite free agents have signed, players are getting less than predicted. Including one who did not choose to be a free agent.

21.  Julio Teheran – Mariners.  Two years, $18MM.  Teheran made 222 starts for the Braves from 2013-19, a total that ranks fourth in all of baseball.  Teheran, 29 in January, made the All-Star team in 2014 and ’16.  Over the last three years, however, the righty has settled in as more of a 4.00 ERA type of innings eater.  Despite an ERA of 4.09 during that time, his SIERA has hovered closer to 5.00.  His control, once an asset, has slipped to an 11% BB rate – third-worst in MLB among qualified starters.  Teheran’s fastball velocity is down below 90 miles per hour on average, but he can at least boast of above average spin rates.  It’s difficult to get excited about Teheran despite his relative youth, but his durability has value.

Signed with Angels for one year, $9MM. 

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 4

Teheran's salary in 2019: $11.2 million. The option was for $12 million.

What if FIP (and SIERA) were on the other side of his ERA? Would the Braves have been less inclined to let him go?

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 20 '19

Julio Teheran (P) ANA - Dec. 19

https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=736298

Teheran signed a one-year, $9 million contract with the Angels on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: Teheran's option wasn't picked up by the Braves after he posted a 3.81 ERA with a 162:83 K:BB over 33 starts in 2019, although his 4.65 FIP tells a slightly different story. The right-hander still has time to develop as he enters his age-29 season, and he could carve out a significant role in the Angels' rotation after topping 30 starts in each of the past seven seasons. 

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 20 '19
Fangraphs 2018: WAR 0.7 FIP 4.83 SIERA 4.67 FB 62% FBv 89.8 HR/FB 14% Hard 37% LOB 76%
Fangraphs 2019: WAR 1.6 FIP 4.66 SIERA 5.11 FB 64% FBv 89.7 HR/FB 11% Hard 39% LOB 77%
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 16 '19