George Springer Toronto Blue Jays

Age: 32 (September 19, 1989) | 6' 3" | 221lbs. | Bats: Right OF-40 CF-4 DH-38
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
HOU AL 2018 140 544 102 144 64 122 26 0 22 71 6 4 .265 .346 .434 10 20 .303 49/16/35 20 21
HOU AA 2019 3 10 3 4 4 1 0 0 2 5 1 0 .400 .571 1.00 29 7 .286 n/a
HOU AL 2019 122 479 96 140 67 113 20 3 39 96 6 2 .292 .383 .591 12 20 .305 45/20/36 29 27
HOU AL 2020 51 189 37 50 24 38 6 2 14 32 1 2 .265 .359 .540 11 17 .259 36/21/43 26 25
TOR AAA 2021 5 17 2 3 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 .176 .222 .235 0 17 .214 n/a
TOR AL 2021 78 299 59 79 37 79 19 1 22 50 4 1 .264 .352 .555 11 23 .286 33/21/47 16 15
TOR AL 2022 70 260 46 67 29 58 11 2 15 38 8 1 .258 .341 .488 10 19 .272 43/19/38 14 13
Career 9yrs 943 3646 672 978 462 922 167 16 211 546 60 33 .268 .359 .496 11 22 .302 n/a
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Let's see what they would look like just doing the LCS and WS with number of PA revealed...Gehrig 2.30 WPA 150 PA

PlayerWPAPA
David Ortiz2.16230
Albert Pujols2.01220
Lance Berkman2.25128
Carlos Correa1.43211
Pete Rose2.56279
Jose Altuve1.48229
Justin Turner0.96202
Carlos Beltrán1.34147
George Springer1.46183
                      


van wilhoite LVW
Nov 2 '21

I don't like it. I'm not sure it adds anything to the discussion. Teams that win by a lot don't have WPA leaders, so a lot of those dominant Yankees teams in the 20s-60s don't have people show up. 

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Nov 2 '21

Do you like WPA? I'm not sure I do.

Having said that, any list that is generated by an algorithm, as opposed to, say, Jason Stark, is fun to look at.

This from the redoubtable Robert Arthur at BP:


By WPA, five of the 10 best postseason batters of all time played for the Houston Astros, four of them in the last few years. (These numbers come courtesy of Baseball Reference’s Stathead.)

PlayerWPATeam
David Ortiz3.2MIN,BOS
Albert Pujols2.8STL,LAA,LAD
Lance Berkman2.7HOU,NYY,STL
Carlos Correa2.6HOU
Pete Rose2.6CIN,PHI
Jose Altuve2.4HOU
Justin Turner2.3LAD
Carlos Beltrán2.3HOU,NYM,STL,NYY,TEX
George Springer2.3HOU
Lou Gehrig2.3NYY

It’s no surprise that Ortiz would be at the top of the list. But in addition to Altuve and Correa, an unexpected George Springer sneaks in ahead of Lou Gehrig.

(There’s a severe bias towards more recent players, because WPA is a cumulative stat, and the postseason has expanded in the recent past. Instead of a single championship series, we have teams running through up to four rounds of contention, providing many more opportunities to gain WPA than there were in much of baseball’s history.)

There are other ways to slice and dice WPA that would tell a slightly different story. For example, focusing only on games where a player added WPA, Derek Jeter nearly matches Ortiz’s record. But that ignores all of the contests where Jeter was a negative force for his team, and his total net WPA, including both his positive and negative contributions, is very close to zero...

The thing about Win Probability Added is that for every good play, there has to be a bad one on the other side of the ledger. For Altuve and Correa to rack up so much positive value, they had to play in many games, but also in many games that were in doubt, which in turn implies that the juggernaut Astros of the regular season were playing well below their abilities in October. The Astros have fielded (by run differential) some of the best teams of all time in the last decade or so, but have come away with only a single championship for all that regular-season greatness. Down 3-2 to the Braves, they have a chance at another trophy, but not a good one at the moment.

That goes to show how little these postseason heroics often matter. Though moments of individual greatness (like Altuve’s three-homer game in the 2017 ALDS) often stick in our minds for years to come, it’s always a long, winding, and luck-filled road that takes a team from the beginning of October through to the World Series. Altuve and Correa (as well as, to a lesser extent, Springer) have elevated their teams perhaps more than any set of teammates in recent history, but it hasn’t been enough to clinch the dynasty Houston’s regular season performance would suggest.

baseballprospectus.com

Alex Patton Alex
Nov 2 '21

Strains quad while rehabbing oblique. Back by the end of the month? If all goes well.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Apr 8 '21
Percentiles: Barrel 81 EV 48 xBA 92 xSLG 95 SO 78 BB 71 speed 82
Alex Patton Alex
Mar 15 '21

The Dreaded Drook in his annual paean to fantasy baseball:

> If you’re confident that Tim McLeod will teach George Springer how to say “EH”, you just might be a Fantasy player.

https://rotisserieduck.com

Alex Patton Alex
Mar 12 '21
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Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 27 '21

Two years ending at 37, not 39, and more long balls add up to $6M I guess. Makes sense to me.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 20 '21

I'm not an AL guy, but is Springer that much better than DJ? A difference of $6 million a year or is this just an age thing (31 vs 33)?

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Jan 20 '21

Springer finds a home in Toronto (or Buffalo), inking a 6-year $150 million deal. The Jays also signed Kirby Yates earlier in the day to a one-year $5.5 million deal. It was a good day to be a Blue Jay fan. 

Tim McLeod tlmcleod
Jan 20 '21