Emilio Pagan San Diego Padres

Age: 29 (May 7, 1991) | 6' 3" | 210lbs. | Throws: Right Minors: p-4
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
SEA AA 2016 4 1 9 0 18 0 30.2 19 1 11 45 1.17 0.98 0.85 3.2 13.2 .303 n/a
SEA AAA 2016 1 2 1 0 23 0 34.1 28 6 18 39 3.67 1.34 1.34 4.7 10.2 .276 n/a
SEA AFL 2016 0 1 1 0 11 0 11.0 12 2 8 12 6.55 1.82 1.73 6.5 9.8 .345 n/a
SEA AAA 2017 2 1 5 0 23 0 31.2 19 0 8 36 2.56 0.85 0.73 2.3 10.2 .263 n/a
SEA AL 2017 2 3 0 8 34 0 50.1 39 7 8 56 3.22 0.93 1.06 1.4 10.0 .271 22/21/57 8 8
OAK AAA 2018 1 0 0 0 5 0 6.0 5 2 0 11 3.00 0.83 1.33 0.0 0.0 .336 n/a
OAK AL 2018 3 1 0 6 55 0 62.0 55 13 19 63 4.35 1.19 1.35 2.8 9.1 .273 27/18/55 3 4
TAM AAA 2019 0 0 2 0 4 1 6.0 2 0 4 10 0.00 1.00 0.67 6.0 15.0 .224 n/a
TAM AL 2019 4 2 20 7 66 0 70.0 45 12 13 96 2.31 0.83 0.99 1.7 12.3 .246 34/19/47 30 21
2020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.00 n/a
Career 3yrs 9 6 20 21 155 0 182.1 139 32 40 215 3.26 0.98 1.14 2.0 10.6 .263 n/a
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Clearly will be taking a hit not being in the closing role.

But a strike shortened season is going to make for some interesting pitcher use decisions.

For example ... do you take advantage of a theoretical 120 game season to maximize the number of your teams 1050 or so innings your 5 starters can throw ...

or do you instead take advantage of as many innings you can get from Pagan, Stammen, and Pomeranz (quite reasonable to expect 210 high quality innings out of the 3 even over 4 months instead of 6) ... which means with Yates getting 50 or so with your bullpen you end up around 400+ innings ... meaning your 5 starters only have to throw around 140-100 innings each?

In the latter case - a high quality reliever like Pagan might end up throwing 70% of the innings of a #5 starter, instead of 40-50%.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Mar 18

No ... but very close, IMO ... but who knows ... I'm a Preller fan but ... many are not ... and I'm understanding more and more how/why ... it's SO hard to be patient ... it's darkest before the dawn ... and ... it's pretty dark in the middle the night too ... glad I could help ... YMMV ...

Howard Lynch LynchMob
Mar 2

Is Yates a lock to stay in SDG for the full season?

Kris Kay BigTrain
Mar 1

The key is that it's a crapshoot.  Yates was amazingly dominant last year but s*** happens.  It's nice to have a backup closer who may end up with 70% of the K's of some starters.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Feb 27

$3 in CBS.

Even though Peter's projection is worth more in 4x4, I can see an argument that Pagan is more desirable in 5x5. The argument being that in both formats you want strong qualitatives. In 5x5 you get a bonus.

Alex Patton Alex
Feb 27

Well, we would have had to debate keeping him at $15 in an AL-only 4x4, and now we don't have to debate it.  

Mike Dean TMU2009
Feb 9
Fangraphs 2018: WAR -0.2 FIP 4.92 SIERA 3.86 FB 66% FBv 93.8 HR/FB 14% Hard 36% LOB 80%
Fangraphs 2019: WAR 1.5 FIP 3.30 SIERA 2.54 FB 62% FBv 95.5 HR/FB 16% Hard 37% LOB 95%
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 16 '19