Dylan Moore Seattle Mariners

Age: 29 (August 02, 1992) | 6' 0" | 185lbs. | Bats: Right 2B-66 3B-10 SS-4 OF-57 DH-1
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
ATL AA 2017 122 421 49 87 45 96 15 0 7 42 10 8 .207 .291 .292 9 20 .248 n/a
MIL AA 2018 24 83 12 31 7 16 7 3 3 18 6 1 .373 .429 .639 8 18 .438 n/a
MIL AAA 2018 97 325 58 91 28 52 24 6 11 40 17 6 .280 .346 .492 8 14 .303 n/a
SEA AAA 2019 7 29 3 5 3 3 0 0 0 7 2 1 .172 .294 .172 9 9 .192 n/a
SEA AL 2019 113 247 31 51 25 93 14 2 9 28 11 9 .206 .302 .389 9 33 .290 37/16/47 7 7
SEA AL 2020 38 137 26 35 14 43 9 0 8 17 12 5 .255 .358 .496 9 27 .314 35/25/40 29 26
SEA AAA 2021 3 11 3 5 1 2 3 0 1 1 1 0 .455 .500 1.00 8 17 .500 n/a
SEA AAA 2021 3 11 3 5 1 2 3 0 1 1 1 0 .455 .500 1.00 8 17 .500 n/a
SEA AL 2021 126 332 42 60 40 111 11 2 12 43 21 5 .181 .276 .334 11 29 .229 32/18/50 13 11
Career 3yrs 277 716 99 146 79 247 34 4 29 88 44 19 .204 .301 .384 10 30 .265 n/a
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His disappointing year at the dish is fully supported by his Statcast scan.

He did not disappoint on the bases, where I'm fairly certain no one projected he'd swipe 21 bags.

And that's why he earns, in 4x4, exactly what the average hitter earns.

Ron Shandler has a chart in the Baseball Forecaster showing how stolen bases just keep getting fewer and further between.

The totals, from 2012 to 2021:

3329, 2693, 2764, 2505, 2537, 2527, 2474, 2280, *2387, 2213

The * is the prorated total for the season we don't like to think about.

I wonder how many the Forecaster projects for 2022?

If you have a full subscription to Baseball HQ you can answer that, because you can download the projections. I just have the Forecaster, which I paid for (because I didn't go to First Pitch Arizona this year, because I have a hard enough time recognizing everybody when they aren't wearing masks), and so I do have the projection for Dylan Moore. P. 123.

He's going to steal 20 bases. That will make him more valuable than the average hitter, even if he's just as bad at the dish, as the trend continues.

Alex Patton Alex
2020: EV 90.4 HardHit 45% Barrel 14% HR/FB 22% LA 17.3 Pull 43% Cent 32% Oppo 26%
2021: EV 86.5 HardHit 33% Barrel 9% HR/FB 11% LA 20.4 Pull 40% Cent 35% Oppo 25%
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 16 '21