Dallas Keuchel Free Agent

Age: 31 (January 1, 1988) | 6' 3" | 205lbs. P-34
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
HOU AL 2015 20 8 0 0 33 33 232.0 185 17 51 216 2.48 1.02 1.02 2.0 8.4 .277 62/19/20 39 35
HOU AL 2016 9 12 0 0 26 26 168.0 168 20 48 144 4.55 1.29 1.32 2.6 7.7 .310 57/19/24 4 8
HOU A- 2017 1 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 3 0 0 5 1.80 0.60 0.60 0.0 0.0 .248 n/a
HOU AA 2017 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.0 2 0 1 3 0.00 1.00 0.83 3.0 9.0 .268 n/a
HOU AL 2017 14 5 0 0 23 23 145.1 116 15 47 125 2.91 1.12 1.11 2.9 7.7 .262 67/15/18 24 21
HOU AL 2018 12 11 0 0 34 34 204.1 211 18 58 153 3.74 1.32 1.31 2.6 6.7 .313 54/22/24 11 13
HOU AL 2019 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.00 n/a -0 -0
Career 7yrs 73 55 0 0 176 167 1103.0 1051 101 304 907 3.54 1.23 1.23 2.5 7.4 .301 n/a
Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!

Arrieta and Greg Holland are additional examples.

John Thomas Roll2
Mar 14

It was merely observational and not a clinical study, but I believe the pitchers who signed late last year pitched much worse than their projection.  Cobb was the one I remember most, but Lynn also had a bad start.  Even if he signs, he will likely come back worse than expected.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Mar 14

As for pricing, you can probably lower his price from those above. Earned 11 in 4x4 and 13 in 5x5 and will be getting a late start on the season so will lose 1/8th of his starts and innings.

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Mar 14

Unsigned Keuchel would be handled differently in the two leagues I was in last year.
PCL -- Not auctionable or draftable. Only available in FAAB once he signed.
Home League -- Not auctionable, but draftable so likely the first or second pick of the rotation draft (with Kimbrel).

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Mar 14

Matthew Trueblood at BP:

... It’s clear that MLB is dealing with discontinuous change right now. TrackMan (of which Statcast is just the public-facing portion, the way the tip is the sky-facing portion of an iceberg) and Rapsodo, among other innovations, have utterly changed the game. What players did even last season, let alone in previous years, is almost irrelevant... 

Keuchel has incorporated valuable information from the Astros in the past, and even helped champion their implementation of defensive shifts, so he’s not averse to new-age baseball thinking. However, that doesn’t matter if teams look at his performance data and fail to see anything they can substantially improve, especially since he’s at an age at which he’ll begin to decline if he can’t adjust...

Alex Patton Alex
Mar 14

In some NL onlies, he can't be FAABed until he actually signs with a NL team.

jeff merk jeffamerk
Mar 13

I wish I had a formula. I'm pondering that now for tomorrow's update.

How do people in NL-onlies play this? Is he up for grabs?

Alex Patton Alex
Mar 13

Rumor is he's not close to signing.  Whatever that's worth.

What's the formula for reducing bids on players unlikely to be ready for opening day?  I thought 15-16 was spot on, but now?  He might not pitch until May at this point.

Gary Cruciani Megary
Mar 13

Keuchel's career ERA at home (91 starts) is 3.04. His road ERA (92 starts) is 4.27.

When he finally signs with someone, the projections will have to factor that in.

The key decision: does he like pitching in Minute Maid? Or at home?

Alex Patton Alex
Feb 10

I suppose the plan, by hiring Dusty Baker, is to make the playoffs and then lose in the first round.

GEOFF CRESAP SydThrift
Feb 7