Avisail Garcia Milwaukee Brewers

Age: 29 (June 12, 1991) | 6' 4" | 240lbs. | Bats: Right OF-100 CF-12 RF-92 DH-23
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
CHW AAA 2016 3 13 2 5 1 3 1 0 1 4 0 0 .385 .429 .692 7 21 .444 n/a
CHW AL 2016 120 413 59 101 34 115 18 2 12 51 4 4 .245 .307 .385 8 25 .309 55/22/23 10 10
CHW AAA 2017 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 50 0.00 n/a
CHW AL 2017 136 518 75 171 33 111 27 5 18 80 5 3 .330 .380 .506 6 20 .392 52/20/27 28 26
CHW AAA 2018 7 25 5 9 3 9 3 0 3 9 0 0 .360 .429 .840 11 32 .462 n/a
CHW AL 2018 93 356 47 84 20 102 11 2 19 49 3 1 .236 .281 .438 5 26 .271 48/17/34 12 11
TAM AAA 2019 1 3 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 .667 0 33 1.00 n/a
TAM AL 2019 125 489 61 138 31 125 25 2 20 72 10 4 .282 .332 .464 6 24 .340 46/22/32 22 20
MIL NL 2020 53 181 20 43 20 49 10 0 2 15 1 3 .238 .333 .326 10 24 .315 48/24/27 3 5
Career 9yrs 816 2973 385 805 200 756 123 16 98 389 37 28 .271 .324 .422 6 23 .331 n/a
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Yeah, that's maximum possible right. In our AL-only league, he went for $5.  I have no idea how that happened; I'd have to check the round-by-round.  The owner finished second, and took 1 point in HRs and RBIs, an unintentional Sweeney.

EDIT:  There it is -- Round 13, 11th player nominated.  Same round we spent $8 on Jorge Soler, and felt good about it.  Of course, same round we got Andrelton Simmons for $6.  Soler didn't fill our outfield, but we were down to $1-2 guys after that.

Mike Dean TMU2009
Oct 23 '17

The highest earner in BA in AL-only was Jose Altuve, which surprises no one.

The second highest earner was Avisail, which surprised everyone.

Kudos to Slyke. Great call in March.

Mike Gianella MikeG
Oct 23 '17

Going for the double reverse whammy. Not often tried, not always successful.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Sep 15 '17

You remind me of Alec Guinness in The Bridge Over the River Kwai, Peter. Rooting for the projection you've constructed over your team!

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 15 '17

Of course you're right about this, but my goal is a fast and dirty way to see if the BA increase is BABIP driven. My way takes just a second and is a pretty good indicator, though if he has too many more 5-5 7 RBI games my projection isn't going to look so hot.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Sep 15 '17

I don't disagree with recalculating a "real batting average," I just disagree with the method of subtracting the difference between BABIP and career BABIP from Avg.  Instead, I think it's proper to recalculate batting average, but not by counting balls not in play in the equation.  

Knocking Garcia's hits down to 131 and holding everything else constant would give him a .335 BABIP, essentially his career level.  But, he would still be hitting .284.

It does show that the average is a mirage to a great extent, but that even so, there are other component improvements this year.

FWIW, ZIPS pegs Garcia for a .290 Avg the rest of they way, Steamer .283, and Depth Charts .287. PECOTA .276.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Sep 15 '17

Illustrative moment. My projection for Avisail is dead on, except for batting average. Eugene pooh poohs this, but if you cut Garcia's BA by the difference between his BABIP and career BABIP, you will see his "real batting average" drop to my projection. I think that's his "real talent," though I'm happy to get this year's excess. I do wish we showed the P$ for the projection. 

Oh, in ADL I bought him for $8. 

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Sep 15 '17

5-5 HR 7RBI today raises his avg to .333

van wilhoite LVW
Sep 14 '17

3 for 5 last night to bring his BA back up to .325. Still has a chance to get to 20 HR's.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Sep 14 '17

.327 BA on September 3rd...the power will come next year.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Sep 3 '17