Andrew Heaney Los Angeles Dodgers

Age: 30 (June 05, 1991) | 6' 2" | 200lbs. | Throws: Left Minors: p-1
Tm Lg YEAR W L SV Hld G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rating BB/9 SO/9 BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
LAA A+ 2018 1 0 0 0 1 1 6.1 2 0 1 6 1.42 0.47 0.39 1.4 8.5 .144 n/a
LAA AL 2018 9 10 0 0 30 30 180.0 171 27 45 180 4.15 1.20 1.30 2.2 9.0 .305 41/24/35 9 14
LAA AAA 2019 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.1 2 0 1 10 0.00 0.69 0.58 2.1 20.8 .474 n/a
LAA AL 2019 4 6 0 0 18 18 95.0 93 20 30 118 4.93 1.29 1.45 2.8 11.2 .328 34/23/44 1 6
LAA AL 2020 4 3 0 0 12 12 66.2 63 9 19 70 4.46 1.23 1.29 2.6 9.4 .314 39/22/39 10 14
LAA AL 2021 6 7 0 0 18 18 94.0 92 16 31 113 5.27 1.31 1.40 3.0 10.8 .333 33/25/41 -0 4
NYY AL 2021 2 2 0 0 12 5 35.2 38 13 10 37 7.32 1.35 1.75 2.5 9.3 .282 32/15/53 -4 -2
LAD NL 2022 1 0 0 0 2 2 10.0 4 0 3 16 0.00 0.70 0.55 2.7 14.4 .247 45/20/35 4 3
Career 9yrs 33 38 0 0 123 114 643.2 626 114 182 666 4.66 1.26 1.38 2.5 9.3 .308 n/a
Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!

more weird stats

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Apr 12

Dodgers rotation candidate

joel schreier jschri
Mar 26

Hit batters I'm sure are in both equations, LVW, since they count as runners on base, and I imagine both formulas place a lot of emphasis on strand rates.

In an article posted yesterday at The Athletic, Eno Sarris argues that when a pitcher has established that he's pretty good at stranding runners and suddenly doesn't, we should give him a mulligan. Heaney's LOB% last year was 68%, compared to 73% in his career. He's one of Eno's bounceback candidates. 

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 7

Carlos Martinez had the lowest strand rate (58.5%) among the 70+ IP guys. 11 Hit batsmen in 82 IP(Alex does this factor in to underperforming ERA?). Relievers inherited 7 of his runners that scored after he left the game. 

van wilhoite LVW
Jan 4

I bet the Dodgers' proprietary system has him closer to the Forecaster's numbers than Bill James's number.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 4

The Bill James Handbook's component ERA (ERC) for Heaney: 4.78.

The Baseball Forecaster's expected ERA (xERA) for Heaney: 4.19.

Heaney's combined ERA pitching for two teams last year: 5.83.

Both systems clearly imply, all things being equal, his actual ERA should have been considerably lower.

And both systems clearly have different ways of calculating what his ERA should have been.

Heaney is at the very top of the Forecaster's ERA Underperformers list (minimum 70 IP), followed by Jesus Luzardo, Jorge Lopez, Dylan Bundy and Carlos Martinez.

The Forecaster cautions about Heaney: "xERA indicates some upside, but we've been saying that for 4 years."

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 4
2020: FB 58% FBv 91.5 EV 88.6 HardHit 39% Barrel 7% HR/FB 12% FIP 3.79
2021: FB 59% FBv 92.0 EV 89.3 HardHit 39% Barrel 9% HR/FB 18% FIP 4.85
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 16 '21