Alex Kirilloff Minnesota Twins

Age: 23 (November 09, 1997) | 6' 2" | 215lbs. | Bats: Left Minors: 1b-35 of-49 lf-8 rf-41 dh-10
MIN A 2018 65 252 36 84 24 47 20 5 13 56 1 1 .333 .391 .607 9 17 .364 n/a
MIN A+ 2018 65 260 39 94 14 39 24 2 7 45 3 2 .362 .393 .550 5 14 .399 n/a
MIN AA 2019 94 375 47 106 29 76 18 2 9 43 7 6 .283 .343 .413 7 18 .333 n/a
MIN AL 2020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0.00 n/a 0 0
MIN AL 2021 59 215 23 54 14 52 11 1 8 34 1 1 .251 .299 .423 6 23 .295 49/22/29 6 5
Career 2yrs 59 215 23 54 14 52 11 1 8 34 1 1 .251 .299 .423 6 23 .295 n/a
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Keith Law and BP part ways on this player. (Kiriloff ranks No.71 in BP's top 100 prospects.)

7. Alex Kirilloff, OF, Minnesota, Age: 23

Kirilloff is now on the very short list of players who made their
major-league debuts in the postseason, also known as the Mark Kiger
All-Stars, but unlike Kiger, Kirilloff will be back. He’s among the very
best hitting prospects in baseball, thanks to a beautiful left-handed
swing, an advanced approach to the strike zone, and all-fields power.
Kirilloff was a pitcher and outfielder in high school and missed the
2017 season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he returned
without a trace of rust and has continued to make hard contact at a high
rate. His power was down in 2019 after he injured his wrist that
spring, so look for a big power spike from him in 2021, whether he does
so in Triple A or in the majors.

Alex Patton Alex
Feb 3

Actuallly (Royce Lewis thread), Twins fans can't be overjoyed about what BP has to say about their top two prospects.

  • 2.
  • Alex Kirilloff
  • RF
  • Born: 1997-11-09
  • B: Left
  • T: Left
  • H: 6′ 2″
  • W: 195 lbs.
  • Drafted 15th overall in the 2016 draft, Plum H.S. (Pittsburgh, PA); signed for $2.8 million.

The Report: For a system that we are quite bullish on overall, we’ve been skeptical about the top two names here in recent years. The Q+D on Kirilloff: A post-draft breakout in short-season coming off a cold weather prep career made us all think perhaps there was more in the tank. Tommy John surgery cost him the next season, so we had to wait to see it at full-season ball. His performance on the field in 2018 was quite good, but the underlying swing had us skeptical about just how loud the hit and power tools would be given the corner profile. In 2019 Kirilloff dealt with a wrist injury and played almost as much first base as outfield. There’s the potential for a plus-or-better hit tool with plus power, but he can get pull-power-happy and out of sync, leading to suboptimal contact. And he doesn’t consistently lift the ball either, struggling to hit for corner bat game power above Low-A. Yes, there’s that pesky wrist injury mention again, but it’s all a bit muddled still.

Development Track: Kirilloff was a surprise add to the playoff roster for an injured Josh Donaldson after spending the summer at the alternate site. Conversely to the Royce Lewis discussion above, you could read into it that the Twins thought Kirilloff was the best option for that spot even though it wasn’t a straight like-for-like swap. We’re not going to fill the evaluation vacuum by reading too much into his four Wild Card Series plate appearances, but it did appear like he was still stuck between his 2018 and 2019 swings. Kirilloff could use some consolidation time in Triple-A, but once you are willing to start a player in the playoffs—and opened a theoretical spot for him by non-tendering Eddie Rosario—well, one could look at these as signals.  

OFP: 60 / First-division corner masher

Variance: High. We don’t think Kirilloff will have the weird orphan “Postseason Batting” baseball-reference page for long, the range of outcomes can go to fringe regular if the bat merely plays a little above average, to frequent All-Star if he unlocks (re-unlocks) something in the swing. —Jeffrey Paternostro 

Major league ETA: Debuted in 2020

J.P. Breen’s Fantasy Take: Assuming he winds up at first base, Kirilloff has an Eric Hosmer feel about him. That is, the average is good and the raw power is present, but there’s a significant risk that none of those skills transition over to in-game power—making him a 20-homer, solid-average first baseman who has the occasional hot stretch. Kirilloff is more interesting as a corner outfielder, just not as much as you might think. Perhaps he puts everything together in 2021. I just don’t plan on being the one who’s betting on that outcome.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 23 '20