The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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Adeiny Hechavarria Atlanta Braves

Ain't recency bias a wonderful thing?

Especially for an Adeiny Hechaverria, who we've had a lot of time to learn who he is.

Last year at the end of April (114 PAs), Yandy Diaz had a WAR of 1.1 ... at the end of the season (347) it was 1.5 ...

Tied with Diaz at 1.1 WAR on May 1 last year?  Alex Bregman.

That said - hell yeah if I'm a team like the Braves whose making a serious run in 2020 I'd drop $1 mil on a Hechavarria.  Without even expecting lightning in a bottle to ever happen again.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope

I'm not sure what to make of WPA but anytime you find yourself on a list that includes Bregman, Rendon and Arenado...

Play Index Spotlight: Adeiny Hechavarria

Journeyman shortstop Adeiny Hechavarria was released by the New York Mets August 14 and signed by the Braves two days later. He proceeded to provide a surprising boost for the Braves in the final stretch and apparently impressed them enough to stay on for another year. When you look at the final 39 games of the 2019 season, Hechavarria provided 1.7 Win Probability Added in just 70 plate appearances for the Braves. That's in the top 5 of WPA among all players in the final 39 games of the 2019 season:

Alex Bregman391681.2082.0  HOU
Anthony Rendon371671.0321.9  WSN
Starlin Castro39162.9731.7  MIA
Nolan Arenado341481.1601.7  COL
Adeiny Hechavarria24701.0391.7  ATL
Tommy Edman37160.9991.5  STL
Ji‑Man Choi34130.969  1.5   TBR
Nelson Cruz331481.0231.5  MIN
Alex Patton Alex
Mike Minor Texas Rangers

He's not a groundball pitcher and yet...

GIDP Induced

Ivan Nova 30

Mike Minor 23

GIDP Per Nine IP

(minimum 162 IP)

Ivan Nova 1.44

Brad Keller 1.20

Mike Minor 0.99

Alex Patton Alex
Joey Votto Cincinnati Reds

Batting second didn't help him but this didn't either.

Lowest RBI % - NL

(minimum 502 PA)

Lorenzo Cain .248

Adam Eaton .270

Joey Votto .271

Alex Patton Alex
Jesse Winker Cincinnati Reds

Shortest Avg Home Run - NL

(min 10 over the wall)

Jesse Winker 378

Tucker Barnhart 380

Matt Wieters 385

Kurt Suzuki 386

Tommy Edman 387 

-- Bill James Handbook

Alex Patton Alex
Drew Smyly San Francisco Giants

Signed a one-year deal with the Giants for $4 million.

I wonder who else was in the bidding?

Alex Patton Alex
Adeiny Hechavarria Atlanta Braves

Signed a one-year deal with the Braves for $1 million.

Playing in 84 games, he reached a career-high in round-trippers.

Alex Patton Alex
Amed Rosario New York Mets

His hard contact rate is up 10% over the last 2 years.....that's  a good sign.  He's got 2 things working against his having a breakout.....his GB rate will temper his HR total and Citi Field.....666 Home OPS(.621 career) vs .837 on the road(.792 career). 

van wilhoite LVW
Jose Altuve Houston Astros

"If true" being the active phrase here.  MLB says they investigated that precise claim and found no substantiation.

As I said before, the widespread vitriol against the Astros is a bit shocking to me.  I am qyite sure that as a kid, I hated the Yankees more, simply for the unfair financial advantage they had.  Maybe the haters just have better ways to get attention in 2020?

Geez, the Astros still have only ONE WS title in their existence.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Carlos Beltran Houston Astros

They should hire Wally Backman to replace him

Mike Landau ML-
Jose Altuve Houston Astros

This is lifetime stuff. 

Matt Roberson Doc

Now saying he used a buzzer under his jersey along with Bregmann. If true should be a severe ban 2+ years or even lifetime.

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Carlos Beltran Houston Astros


Kent Ostby Seadogs
Amed Rosario New York Mets

I agree with you TexPope.  The thing is most of the leagues I play in are Dynasty or at least have a keeper aspect to them.  I'm thinking this may be the last draft season where Rosario might come at a price discount vs. his talent and potential.

Kevin Wiley kldub4life

I'd be happy if he simply consolidated his 2019 improvement and repeated that level of performance.  Certainly not going to be bidding on improvement until he demonstrates a better knowledge of what he's doing on the basepaths - his sprint speed suggests he could be a much better basestealer.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Odubel Herrera Philadelphia Phillies

DFA'd ... but I'd guess that the chances of someone picking his $20 mil obligation off waivers is close to zero, so expect him to be starting the season in Lehigh barring some insane combo of injuries during ST.

Harper, McCutchen, Bruce are going to be corners ... I guess Haseley will get first shot at everyday CF, with Quinn most likely as 5th OF as another guy who can play CF.  Which would send Williams (who has one more option available) to join Herrera in Lehigh.

All of which will make Herrera a very interesting Ultra pick imo.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Amed Rosario New York Mets

Could this be the year that the tools come together and Rosario takes a big step forward?

He had a very good 2nd half last year (and really only 1 poor month all season long - May).

He slashed .319/.351/.453 during the 2nd half which seems sustainable to me.  I'm not sure where they will be batting him.  It doesn't take much of a stretch of the imagination to see a .300 BA, with 20/20 potential, and 160 RBIs+runs.

I am a little concerned about his SB success going 9-16 during the 2nd half.

Wondering what people think his general range of outcomes might be?

Kevin Wiley kldub4life
Julio Rodriguez Seattle Mariners

At BA today...

  1. 1. Julio Rodriguez | OF
    Julio Rodriguez
    Born: Dec 29, 2000 
    Bats: R Throws: R 
    Ht.: 6'4" Wt.: 225 
    Drafted: Signed: Dominican Republic, 2017. 
    Signed By: Eddy Toledo/Tim Kissner 

    BA Grade: 70. Risk: High 
    Tool Grades: Hit: 70. Power: 70. Run: 45. Fielding: 50. Arm: 70. c Track Record: Rodriguez was one of the premier hitters in the 2017 international class and signed with the Mariners for $1.75 million. Seattle took it slow in Rodriguez’s first season and kept him in the Dominican Summer League, where he won MVP honors. The gloves came off in 2019. The Mariners teamed Rodriguez with fellow top prospect Jarred Kelenic at low Class A West Virginia in an aggressive assignment. The only speed bump Rodriguez encountered was a broken hand suffered in mid-April that kept him out of action for two months, but when he was on the field Rodriguez was the talk of scouts, managers and opposing players. The Mariners promoted Rodriguez to high Class A Modesto in August, and he further embellished his lofty reputation by annihilating California League pitchers to the tune of .462/.514/.738 in 17 games. He finished his year with an assignment to the Arizona Fall League and more than held his own as the youngest player there. 

    Scouting Report: Often described as a man-child, Rodriguez packs an impressive set of tools in a large, muscular frame. He has unbelievable feel to hit, especially for his age, and shows a good approach with the ability to retain information and make adjustments at the plate. With plus bat speed and quick hands, Rodriguez’s swing has a solid bat path through the zone. He controls the zone well and struck out just a shade over 20 percent of the time in 2019. Rodriguez’s most exhilarating tool is plus-plus raw power to all fields. He makes loud, memorable contact and projects to hit for both average and power when he’s fully developed. Rodriguez is no more than an average runner now and will slow with age, especially since he’s already getting thicker in his lower half. He split time between center and right field, but a plus-plus arm profiles him perfectly for right field. Rodriguez gets good reads and jumps in the outfield, projecting to be an average defender. Rodriguez has outstanding makeup and character and is frequently described as a joy to be around. He has learned English rapidly and takes pride in being able to do interviews in his second language. 

    The Future: Rodriguez will continue to be pushed quickly through the Mariners’ system, with some observers stating it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him in the major leagues as a teenager. He has a chance to break camp with Double-A Arkansas to start 2020 and gives the Mariners a potential franchise, middle-of-the-order hitter to build around.

Alex Patton Alex
Nico Hoerner Chicago Cubs

At BP yesterday...

1. Nico Hoerner, SS
Height/Weight: 5’11” / 200 lbs

Drafted 24th overall in the 2018 draft, Stanford University (Stanford, CA); signed for $2.724 million. 
Previous Ranking(s): #1 (Org), #86 (Top 101)
2019 Stats: 
.400/.429/.450, 0 HR, 0 SB in 5 games for AZL Cubs; .284/.344/.399, 3 HR, 8 SB in 70 games for Double-A Chattanooga; .282/.305/.436, 3 HR, 0 SB in 20 games for the Chicago Cubs

The Report: Hoerner had a very solid first full professional season. It was not the kind of performance that would normally merit a late season call-up, but a series of unfortunate events to the Cubs’ middle infielders impressed him into major league service. While it was a big jump for a prospect with only 70 games of upper minors experience—all in Double-A—Hoerner didn’t look overmatched at all in the bigs. He has a preternatural feel for contact, with enough bat speed and barrel control to drive a ball wherever it’s pitched. He’s happy to spray line drives, but he’s quick enough inside to yank your fastball out to left field if you try to beat him there. He was sacrificing power for contact some as he tried to stay afloat in the majors—and there probably isn’t even average game power here anyway—but I’d expect him to find low-double-digit home run pop with plenty of doubles once he gets his sea legs under him. Hoerner is a plus runner, but not a particularly aggressive base stealer, and a perfectly acceptable shortstop. The bat is what carried him to the majors though and will keep him there for a long time.

OFP: 60 / First-division shortstop

Variance: Low. The hit tool is plus, and he might have years where he hits .300, but the rest of the profile doesn’t exactly pop. —Jeffrey Paternostro

Major league ETA: Debuted in 2019

Ben Carsley’s Fantasy Take: Hoerner is ready to contribute now, will play with a good supporting cast and has the type of carrying fantasy tool (average) you’d like to see. On those merits alone, he’s a top-101 dynasty prospect. Just don’t confuse Hoerner’s meteoric rise as a sign of more offensive upside to come, because at the end of the day, Hoerner’s fantasy profile isn’t really all that different from, like, Kevin Newman’s. That’s perhaps a bit harsh, but helps to illustrate that you should only be counting on Hoerner as an MI or depth bat in most moderately sized leagues. He’s very safe, but he’s not a future fantasy star.

Alex Patton Alex
Casey Sadler Chicago Cubs

For some reason we aren't showing his MLB stats last year.

The MLB link has both his stats and his Statcast averages, which are better than average.

Alex Patton Alex

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