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Halfway through June, it would seem just  the threat of cracking down on the use of sticky stuff has made a remarkable difference. 

Month by month rate stats:

MonthBB%K%BABIPBAOBPSLG
April8.90%24.40%0.2830.2320.3090.389
May9.00%24.00%0.2920.2390.3150.397
June8.50%23.40%0.2950.2460.3170.417

While it's too early to say for sure --  the warming weather could be a factor, the ever-changing baseball could be another -- it will be very interesting to see what happens when the threat of a crackdown becomes the reality.

Alex Patton Alex
Amed Rosario Cleveland Indians

Re Mike's comment minutes ago, it's all the stranger that Cesar Hernandez remains tethered to first base when you see what his keystone mate is doing. In addition to stealing his seventh base yesterday, Amed rapped out three singles. He's batting .440 -- and slugging .440 -- in the last seven days. Somewhere along the line he made a conscious decision to hit the ball to right and it's paying off. In the last 14 days he's batting .396, slugging .512. No walks but only six whiffs.

Alex Patton Alex
Cesar Hernandez Cleveland Indians

Not sure I've ever seen quite so abrupt a stop, in terms of running.

Mike Landau ML-
Aaron Sanchez San Francisco Giants

Do people think he's worth sitting on? He's on my bench in two leagues, one of which is a short bench. 

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Jake Fraley Seattle Mariners
Gerrit Cole New York Yankees

Up by 12 over second place, which is good. Third place in strikeouts. Not as good. Leagues that limit innings reward K rate more than bulk, so I have to run relievers out with high K rates.

I added Kimbrel and Iglesias this week, which should help my saves situation and add Ks per inning. But the big thing will be if ERA goes up for starters. All those teams making 120 starts instead of 70 will be at a disadvantage. I dream.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Tanner Rainey Washington Nationals

In April, Rainey's fastball was averaging 95.1 mph - and he produced a 6.48 ERA.

In June, he's been averaging 97.1 mph with his fastball - with a ... (checks notes) ... 7.50 ERA.

A little early to jump on the train, but the increased velocity makes him a stash target.  Hand and Hudson are both 30+ Free Agents at the end of the season, and a cellar dwelling Nationals might end up creating some bullpen opportunity via trades in the second half.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Dominic Smith New York Mets

I hope Dom reads Rotoworld.


06.14:
 Dominic Smith went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk Monday in theMets' 5-2 takedown of the Cubs. (Smith was 3-for-31 with 13 strikeouts in his last nine games before coming through tonight. He's going to need to pick it up to avoid losing some playing time as the Mets begin to get healthier. He's hitting just .244/.312/.358 this season, which isn't going to cut it for a bat-first player.)
Alex Patton Alex
David Fletcher Los Angeles Angels

They fell in last night (three singles and a double) but it does seem like big data has done the impossible: figure out how to place fielders when Fletcher is at the plate. I've watched him get robbed time and again.

Alex Patton Alex
Gerrit Cole New York Yankees

How are you doing in wins?

Alex Patton Alex
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Toronto Blue Jays

Interesting that the odds of the Blue Jays winning, having tied the game in the top of the ninth, still weren't very good. Clearly the baserunner on second in extra innings has tipped the scale toward the home team -- I wonder by how much?

Win Prob. Added (WPA) Leaders

Position Players

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR)3.1
Shohei Ohtani (LAA)2.7
Jesse Winker (CIN)2.6
Matt Olson (OAK)2.5
Jose Ramirez (CLE)2.4

Pitchers

Brandon Woodruff (MIL)3.2
Josh Hader (MIL)2.8
Mark Melancon (SDP)2.7
Kevin Gausman (SFG)2.4
Jacob deGrom (NYM)2.4

Yesterday's Biggest Play

Batter: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR)

Pitcher: Matt Barnes (BOS)

Situation: Top 9th, 2 out, 0-1 count, Bases Empty

Score:  BOS 1, TOR 0

Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
1 run scored on the play, and TOR's win probability increased 35% points, to 39%
BOS went on to win the game, 2-1

View the full game Boxscore at Baseball-Reference.com


Alex Patton Alex
Gerrit Cole New York Yankees

Today's Washington Post: "Around June 3, reports surfaced that suggested the league was ready to begin stepped-up enforcement in accordance with its findings, though the specifics of the policy were not made clear. But the notion of enhanced enforcement appears to have been some kind of deterrent. In the 12 days before June 3, Major League hitters hit .233, walked 9.1 percent of the time, struck out 24.3 percent of the time, and experienced a home run-to-fly ball ratio of 12.7 percent. In the 12 days after, those same hitters hit .246, walked 8.4 percent of the time, struck out 23.3 percent of the time, and experienced a home run-to-fly ball ratio of 14.4 percent."

In one league I play in we have a 180 start maximum. By accident I ended up with lots of good starters and as of two weeks ago I'd used half my limit. This stat divergence makes me think I may have stumbled into a good strategy. We'll see.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jimmy Nelson Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers – Converted starter Jimmy Nelson has found a new home in the Los Angeles bullpen. So far this season, he’s posted 36 Ks in 21.2 innings — his best strikeout rate ever by a very wide margin — to go along with a 2.08 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He got the 8th inning ahead of Kenley Jansen last night and could see more high-leverage work if his success continues.

Updated hierarchy: Jansen | Treinen | Nelson.

Alex Patton Alex
Jose "Garcia" Barrero Cincinnati Reds

Changed his last name to Barrero which caught us off guard in PCL this morning.

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/reds-jose-garcia-changes-name-from-garcia-to-barrero/

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Drew Steckenrider Seattle Mariners

Quite good? That's an understatement, Mr. Monkey.

Seattle Mariners – We love it when old hierarchy mainstays disappear for awhile and then randomly return elsewhere, so we were thrilled to see Drew Steckenrider on Monday night, picking up his first save since September of 2018. Kendall Graveman had gone two straight and Rafael Montero’s last outing was pretty rugged, so this probably isn’t more than a moonlighting gig for Steck, but he has been quite good this year, posting a 2.59 ERA over 24.1 innings thus far. We’ll watch to see if this turns into something more significant. At the very least, he’s increasing his trade value.

Updated hierarchy: *Graveman | Montero | Steckenrider.
* = closer-by-committee

Alex Patton Alex
Austin Gomber Colorado Rockies

Against the mighty Pads in Coors.

Sean MurphyCarson KellyJoey VottoAustin GomberNathan Eovaldi

Yesterday's Top Performers

Pitchers:

Austin Gomber* (COL): 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K, 80 GmSc

Nathan Eovaldi* (BOS): 6.2 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K, 71 GmSc

David Peterson (NYM): 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 3 K, 71 GmSc

Alek Manoah (TOR): 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K, 64 GmSc

Alex Wood (SFG): 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K, 62 GmSc

View All of Yesterday's Pitchers at Baseball-Reference.com

* - pictured above

Alex Patton Alex
Carson Kelly Arizona Diamondbacks

A bright light on the dreary d'Backs (6-35 in their last 41).

Sean MurphyCarson KellyJoey VottoAustin GomberNathan Eovaldi

Yesterday's Top Performers

Batters:

Sean Murphy* (OAK): 2-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R

Carson Kelly* (ARI): 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R

Joey Votto* (CIN): 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R

Kyle Schwarber (WSN): 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R

Dominic Smith (NYM): 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R

Niko Goodrum (DET): 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R

Randy Arozarena (TBR): 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R

Brandon Crawford (SFG): 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R

Jonathan India (CIN): 3-4, 1 RBI, 1 R, 1 SB

David Fletcher (LAA): 4-5, 1 RBI

View All of Yesterday's Batters at Baseball-Reference.com

* - pictured above

Alex Patton Alex
Alex Wood San Francisco Giants

Alex Wood (P) SF - Jun. 14
https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=785107

Wood (6-3) allowed two runs on four hits and a walk over six innings Monday, striking out seven and earning a win over the Diamondbacks.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: After allowing 15 runs in as many innings over his last three starts, Wood turned in his first quality start since May 21. All the damage against him came from Carson Kelly, who knocked an RBI double in the fourth inning and later took Wood deep for a solo shot. The 30-year-old lefty lowered his season ERA to 3.71 and earned his first win since May 16. Wood is projected to face the Phillies at home this weekend.


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Alex Patton Alex
Matt Wisler Tampa Bay Rays

He went for $15 ($1.50 without inflation) in the ADL yesterday.

Matt Wisler (P) TB - Jun. 14
https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=784973

Wisler secured his first hold in a win over the Orioles on Sunday, firing a perfect seventh inning during which he recorded a strikeout.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: Wisler got eight of an efficient 12 pitches into the strike zone during his Rays debut, which was a welcome change from the the struggles that had led to a 6.05 ERA across 19.1 innings with the Giants before Friday's trade. The veteran swingman sports the type of versatile profile that could make him a natural fit for a team that's known to be creative with how it deploys pitchers capable of working multiple innings.

Alex Patton Alex
Vladimir Gutierrez Cincinnati Reds

Vladimir Gutierrez (P) CIN - Jun. 14
https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=785127

Gutierrez (3-1) earned the win Monday against the Brewers after tossing six innings of two-run ball, allowing four hits and two walks while fanning six.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: Gutierrez has looked surprisingly good in four outings this season, as he's yet to give up more than two earned runs and has also recorded two quality starts.

Alex Patton Alex

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