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The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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Mike Foltynewicz Atlanta Braves

Yeah, that's going to be a long winter for him.

Mike Dean TMU2009
Oct 9

Ouch.

Historically ouch.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Oct 9
Gerrit Cole Houston Astros

Set an all time single season record for K rate among ERA qualifiers. 

Top 5.

2019 Cole

1999 Pedro

2001 Big Unit

2017 Sale

2019 Verlander

van wilhoite LVW
Oct 9
Freddy Peralta Milwaukee Brewers

Freddy's fastball averaged 93.6 this year, compared to 90.8 the year before.

That's the biggest mph increase of any pitcher in the majors who threw a minimum of 50 innings.

Virtually every pitcher had some increase in velo and virtually every pitcher allowed more homers per flyball. In Freddy's case the trade-off was especially unfavorable.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9
Hansel Robles Los Angeles Angels

In his last 30 games, only managed to collect 12 saves, but...

1.91 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, with ttwo wins thrown in for good measure.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9
Kolby Allard Atlanta Braves

Todd Zola, taking stock of this year's -- and next year's -- park factors:

5. Globe Life Park versus Globe Life Field

Was there a less ceremonial closing of a venue than Globe Life Park?
Obviously there isn't a great deal of history, but still. Anyway,
Arlington continued to be one of the best places to score runs, though
the home run factor dropped seven points. There are several factors
contributing to how the old venue played, including climate, wind and
dimensions. Early reports suggest the new venue will play more
pitcher-friendly, though it remains to be seen how that fleshes out. Not
to mention, Globe Life Field will play differently with the roof opened
and closed, and we have no idea how often it will be one way or the
other. Will they only close the roof when it's raining, or will it be
closed in response to excessively oppressive heat? My more than ample
gut says it has to be more pitcher friendly, boding well for Mike Minor, Lance Lynn, Kolby Allard and the rest of the Rangers rotation. On the other hand, temper expectations for batters.

rotowire.com

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9

Baseball Prospectus top ten WARP -- pitchers.

1. Stephen Strasburg 8.3

2. Justin Verlander 7.9

3. Gerrit Cole 7.9

4. Jacob deGrom 7.8

5. Jack Flaherty 7.1

6. Max Scherzer 6.2

7. Yu Darvish 6.0

8. Lance Lynn 5.9

9. Charlie Morton 5.9

10. Patrick Corbin 5.9

Strasberg isn't just at the top of this list, he's at the top with some to spare.

Darvish and Corbin crash the party.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9
Mike Foltynewicz Atlanta Braves

In his last seven starts he's been as good, if not better, than the three other starting pitchers today. In 41.2 IP, a 0.84 WHIP and 1.73 ERA.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9
Stephen Strasburg Washington Nationals

Today's Games (and Probable Pitchers)

STL (91‑71)Jack Flaherty (RHP, 11-8, 2.75)
ATL (97‑65)Mike Foltynewicz (RHP, 8-6, 4.54)
5:02 pm, series tied 2-2
WSN (93‑69)Stephen Strasburg (RHP, 18-6, 3.32)
LAD (106‑56)Walker Buehler (RHP, 14-4, 3.26)
8:37 pm, series tied 2-2

View Detailed Previews on Baseball-Reference.com

Elimination Game Records

Stephen Strasburg has already started one elimination game in his career, recording the win on 7 innings, 12 strikeouts in Game 4 of the 2017 NLDS (although his team would go on to lose the series in Game 5).

Mike Foltynewicz's only start in an elimination game came in last year's NLDS Game 4, where he allowed 1 run in 4 innings in a no decision; the Braves would fall to the Dodgers in that game.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9
Tommy Pham Tampa Bay Rays

The win probability before Pham's homer was 52 percent?

Yesterday's Biggest Play

Batter: Tommy Pham (TBR)

Pitcher: Justin Verlander (HOU)

Situation: Bottom 1st, 1 out, 2-2 count, Bases Empty

Score:  TBR 0, HOU 0

Home Run (Line Drive to Deep LF-CF)
1 run scored on the play, and TBR's win probability increased 10% points, to 62%
TBR went on to win the game, 4-1

View the full game Boxscore at Baseball-Reference.com

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 9

Fangraphs top ten WAR -- pitchers:

1. Gerrit Cole 7.4

2. Jacob deGrom 7.0

3. Lance Lynn 6.8

4. Max Scherzer 6.5

5. Justin Verlander 6.4

6. Charlie Morton 6.1

7. Stephen Strasburg 5.7

8. Shane Bieber 5.6

9. Zach Greinke 5.4

10. Lucas Giolito 5.1

Cole is the biggest gainer (compared to Baseball-Reference) while a teammate is the biggest loser. One Ranger stays at No. 3 while the other drops off the list.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 8

Baseball-Reference top ten WAR -- pitchers:

WAR for Pitchers
1.Verlander • HOU7.8
2.Minor • TEX7.8
3.Lynn • TEX7.6
4.deGrom • NYM7.3
5.Cole • HOU6.9
6.Strasburg • WSN6.3
7.Rodriguez • BOS6.0
8.Flaherty • STL5.9
9.Scherzer • WSN5.8
10.Soroka • ATL5.7


Park context gives the the Rangers two of the three best starting pitchers this year? I can't think what else explains it.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 8
Joey Wendle Tampa Bay Rays

It's up to you Joey!

Today's Matchups to Watch

  • Joey Wendle vs. Justin Verlander: 11 PA, .375/.455/.500, 0 HR
  • Kevin Kiermaier vs. Justin Verlander: 12 PA, .091/.167/.091, 0 HR
  • Eric Sogard vs. Justin Verlander: 10 PA, .000/.000/.000, 0 HR
  • Avisail Garcia vs. Justin Verlander: 35 PA, .235/.257/.294, 0 HR
  • Mike Zunino vs. Justin Verlander: 16 PA, .000/.125/.000, 0 HR

View All Possible Matchup Histories for Today

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 8
Max Scherzer Washington Nationals

Suddenly all the pressure is on the Dodgers.

Yesterday's Top Performers

Pitchers:

Max Scherzer* (WSN): 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 7 K, 3 BB, 69 GmSc

Charlie Morton* (TBR): 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 9 K, 2 BB, 64 GmSc

Luis Severino (NYY): 4.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 K, 2 BB, 56 GmSc


Alex Patton Alex
Oct 8
Rich Hill Los Angeles Dodgers

That decreases his fantasy value but increases his real value.

jeff merk jeffamerk
Oct 8

Interesting stat on Rich Hill coming into this game. 11.6% of his total innings with the Dodgers have been in the postseason.  It doesn't sound like a high percentage but comparatively speaking it is. 

van wilhoite LVW
Oct 7
Gerrit Cole Houston Astros

And yet the Rays give the less than adoring crowd something they should have witnessed in person.

jeff merk jeffamerk
Oct 7
Jake Odorizzi Minnesota Twins

The Twinkies must have gotten overexcited about Dobnak's strong September. I was baffled myself.

jeff merk jeffamerk
Oct 7

Fangraphs top ten WAR for position players (fielding included):

1 Trout 8.6

2 Bregman 8.5

3 Yelich 7.8

4 Bellinger 7.8

5 Semien 7.6

6 Marte 7.1

7 Rendon 7.0

8 Bogaerts 6.8

9 Betts 6.6

10 Springer 6.5

Biggest difference from  Baseball-Reference is Bellinger.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 7
Austin Meadows Tampa Bay Rays

Well, IMHO those are all things we can add to our evaluations. I don't think that less information is ever better than more. Obviously, the information will likely be more relevant in the case of someone like Meadows than it wold be for, say, Trout, but I for one think it's valuable. (Not that it helped me with Meadows; I saw him play poorly for the Pirates too often.)

mike fenger mike
Oct 7

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