The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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Mike Trout Los Angeles Angels

According to the excellent @kroyte fantasy guide, Mike Trout has earned less than cost five straight years. This by no means is a knock on Trout, it just underscores that the first round is about setting a foundational brick, not making a birdie or an eagle. Build your house.

scott pianowski ballfour

Is there any way to change it myself for the players I've already projected? Maybe under Formulas/Options/Hitting Denominators? 

Scott Shea SJS

Ouch. It should be .254, and is in the Evaluator.

The formulas in the Projector are always the same as the previous season -- it's hard enough to predict what a player is going to do, much less an entire league.

Good catch, Scott. That's a serious error that will be corrected in the first update.

We think March 1 is a good time for the first update, since by then we will have some actual spring training games to go by. The next will be March 15. After that each Friday until April 5, which will be our last.

Alex Patton Alex
Yulieski Gurriel Houston Astros

We have the topper, and it's my kind of topper.  Non-glamorous player.  

Mike Dean TMU2009
Yangervis Solarte San Francisco Giants

Has signed a minor league deal with Giants. $1.75 million if he makes the team.

How can he not?

Alex Patton Alex

Alex and Peter, is the batting average denominator in the AL .260 this year? I've got Gary Sanchez projected to hit .260 (yeah, I'm an optimist!) and he earns $0.0 in AVG.

Are we expecting a big increase in AVG this year? I recall the AL average being about .254 in 2018. 

Scott Shea SJS
Dan Jennings Los Angeles Angels

Will be in camp with the Angels. In seven years, a very mediocre WHIP and commendable ERA. The Rating -- which counts walks as far less damaging than hits and homers as far more damaging than the average hit -- leans toward ERA.

Alex Patton Alex
Mac Williamson San Francisco Giants

The story of Williamson after his concussion is pretty scary.

Sleeping 10-14 hours a night.  Lost 25 lbs.  Panic attacks and mood swings.

Spring training player to watch.  He's out of options, so almost certain the Giants take him north.

If he doesn't run into another wall, I think $10 is a baseline earnings for him.  250 ABs, 12 HR.   And I think he has the breakout potential of a $25 season where he gets 500 ABs and 25 HR.

But you won't have to pay $10.  Or maybe even $5.  Because even a minor concussion sends him to the DL and sends his value to $0.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Cameron Maybin San Francisco Giants

Signed a minor league contract with the Giants.

As the Rotoworld spins:

Of all the landing spots, Maybin has found a good one in the Giants, a team with
virtually no sure things in the outfield. Of course, Maybin hasn't
brought much to the table in recent years, either, hitting
.249/.326/.336 with four homers and 10 steals between the Marlins and
Mariners last year. Given the state of the Giants' outfield, though,
he's certainly got a shot at winning a job -- if not a starting spot -- this spring.

Source: Andrew Baggarly on Twitter
Alex Patton Alex
Derek Dietrich Cincinnati Reds

Signed a minor league contract with the Reds. Has 2 million reasons to make the team.

Alex Patton Alex
Yulieski Gurriel Houston Astros

He's competing with Kepler for my last keeper spot in the ADL..

$20 to me this year; Kepler's 16. There's lots not to like about Yuli. He's a first baseman who hit 13 homers in 500+ AB. He slashed .273/.303/.390 against RHP and the 'Stros, with a preponderance of righty bats, are going to see a lot of those. He hits a lot of grounders.

What do I like about him?

He makes contact.

He'll be batting fifth or sixth in a lineup that makes contact and has good speed.

I love his swing, even if it does produce a lot of grounders.

He qualifies at second in the ADL. That could be what tips the scale, if it does.

Alex Patton Alex
Taylor Trammell Cincinnati Reds

No. 32 on John  Sickels top 100 prospects list at The Athletic.

"Age 21, comp-round pick in 2016... enormously fun to watch in person with blazing speed, developing power, sharp defense despite questionable arm; could be top-of-the-order force; ETA late 2020."

Alex Patton Alex
Brian Anderson Miami Marlins

Just two years ago, the Marlins lineup featured Stanton, Yelich, Ozuna, Gordon, Bour, and Realmuto.

Now, following the Realmuto trade, Anderson is the best bat in the lineup.

No pressure, kid.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Aaron Loup San Diego Padres

Inked a one-year deal with the Pads. $1.4 million with a $2 million club option ($200 K if they opt out). Could earn extra $800 K this year with incentives.

He has to be ecstatic. The owners are giving everyone a haircut; with the start of spring training, fringe players just want a guaranteed spot in the barber's chair.

Alex Patton Alex
Alcides Escobar Baltimore Orioles

Once upon a time Escobar flashed decent leather.  Last year a negative dWAR.

I can see a rebuilding team signing a really bad bat for SS in order to improve defensively - because it's nice for young pitchers, as you bring them up, to get rewarded for inducing ground balls.

Escobar seems more like an "oh, I've heard of him" signing.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Maybe Iglesias is also willing to sign a minor league deal.
jeff merk jeffamerk
Jose Berrios Minnesota Twins

Still less than 400 MLB innings ... just feels like the kind of guy who could breakout in a big way.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Madison Bumgarner San Francisco Giants

Well - he took a beating in the CBS auction we had last week - while #1 starters were going in the $35-50 range, I bought Madbum for a paltry $21.  He was 23rd among pitcher salaries.

If he keeps going cheap, I'll be happy to add him and gamble on the upside.  I know he wasn't the dominant MadBum last year - but for a pitcher who doesn't rely on "blow them away" power the effect of a broken pinkie on his grip could definitely have hurt his effectiveness all year after he came back.

Note that before he took the liner off his hand in his last ST start, he had 30 K/4 BB in 21 ST innings.  And really, that's all I mainly care about when I look at ST stats - is a pitcher throwing strikes, and getting the ball past hitters.

Now we have a 29 year old starter ... but a 29 year old starter who only has 240 IP in his last 2 years.  In 2014 he had 270 IP between the regular season and the postseason.

I'm not paying for a $30 season ... but one wouldn't shock me.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Max Kepler Minnesota Twins

Peter's projection is reasonable, and if it's accurate and I keep him, I would lose $2.

Even so, I'm thinking about keeping him.

Kepler is the Advanced Stat Heads' darling. Even his mediocre LD% doesn't discourage them.

The geezers in the American Dreams (even Rotoman has reached geezerdom, liberally defined) pretend they don't understand or pay attention to advanced stats.

Most of them are lying. (Not all.)

If I let Kepler go, I know for a fact he will cost more in the auction. Maybe just a dollar or two but more.

If somebody else has him and he has the season I was expecting him to have last year this year, I will be highly annoyed.

Not a good reason to keep somebody but it's a reason.

Kepler is definitely in play for the last spot on my reserve list.

Alex Patton Alex
Alex Reyes St. Louis Cardinals

No. 21 onn John Sickels' top 100 list, posted now at The Athletic.

"... where you rank him on the stairway depends on your risk tolerance but the song remains the same: Reyes is enormously talented, but can he stay healthy? ETA 2019."
Alex Patton Alex

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