Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
26 walks in 645 AB is a huge improvement over 1 walk in 126 AB. My bet is he keeps improving, though there will be rough spots. If they don't land him in jail he'll be very good by the time he's 25.

That said, the risk is high enough that Alex's bid seems aggressive enough. If someone wants to go higher, let them.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '08
Moises Alou New York Mets
Better to kiss them off a year early rather than a year late, Mr. Rickey said. I'd certainly go to three on Moises if I had to in my mixed league, but the chance that you'll get nothing from the oldest baseball age 41 year old you're likely to find on a field this year, a player with a rugged injury history, is way too high to count on anything at all. I'll stick with picking him off in the end game.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '08
Brian Roberts New York Yankees
Speed will be at a premium in the A.L. this year. I don't know if Roberts will steal 50 again in 2008. But he'll have the green light, he's at a tough position to fill, and he should once again be healthy. Tick him up higher if you need the speed.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Reggie Willits Los Angeles Angels
My mixed league bid price ($6 at present) indicates that I agree with BB. Willits is a good bet to look like he's been squeezed out of playing time, but will find the at bats (and the steals). But until the squeeze in Anaheim is released it's a good idea to consider Willits something of a sleeper. Worth an extra buck or three more than nothing, but not someone to go out on a limb for (especially in a mixed league).
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '08
David Ortiz Boston Red Sox
DH or no, the bid has to be higher for a guy who has averaged $36 worth of earnings the last three seasons.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
In 159 AB as a DH last year, he hit 10 HR and drove in 36. He also only hit .270. I predict the power returns this year. Even if the steals don't, I'm going past that $33 bid limit. I'll gladly pay $35+ for a guy who shows nothing but $30+ earnings in the scan.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Kelvim Escobar New York Mets
Just to nitpick- Hunter was slightly above average in CF last year, stolen homeruns included, Vlad is well below average, and Matthews is an unknown commodity if he's playing LF, although his range should be good out there as long as he can make the transition to the corner and get good jumps.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 31 '08
Reggie Willits Los Angeles Angels
There are a few teams in need of centerfielders. Willits could help them all. Batting first or, even better, second. He may be the perfect number two-hole hitter in all of baseball. He averaged 4.4 pitches per at-bat--the highest figure in the AL-- and was fourth in the league with 11 sac bunts. He lets the lead-off man steal a base, he makes the defense shuffle, he makes the pitcher work. Mike Napoli said he ought to wear 32 "because every count seems to go 3-2."

He earned chump change in the real world last year, $382,500.
But $17 in my 4x4 league. And he was hurt!

He will find his way into some lineup up somehow.



Bruce BUSCHEL BBGUN
Jan 31 '08
Moises Alou New York Mets
In mixed leagues that have taxi squads, I'd go a lot higher than $1 for Moises. When he's in the lineup, he produces. The taxi squads in mixed leagues have very capable replacements.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 31 '08
Kelvim Escobar New York Mets
Kelvim's numbers last year were almost identical to his numbers the year before--except the win total and therefore the earnings.
There is no reason to predict any drop off, and having pitched nearly 200 innings in four of the past five seasons, no reason to worry about injury any more than most starters, and less than some. He knows his body.

The Angels have a humdinger of a defensive outfield now, and some more power, and another efficient bullpen, so what's not to like?
Bruce BUSCHEL BBGUN
Jan 31 '08
Aaron Laffey Seattle Mariners
I'm a believer that Cliff Lee and his 4mil salary gets that 5th spot as long as he doesn't suck in Spring Training, but you never know. Laffey did all that was asked of him filling in for Lee/Sowers last year, but speaking of Sowers, does anyone besides me see Laffey as the next Sowers? Rather hittable, not enough stuff to make it around the league a few times...

Either way, whomever wins the 5th spot is probably just keeping it warm for Adam Miller.
Gary Cruciani Megary
Jan 31 '08
Mike Napoli Cleveland Indians
I agree with BGWoodsman. If Napoli can avoid the injury bug that bit him last year, no reason to think he can't improve on his power numbers from 2006. 26 HR's and .806 OPS in 487 AB's shows the potential.

Mathis, once the Halo's prized catching prospect, has seemed lost against major league pitching and I can't see him getting more than a start a week unless he shows some real improvement at the plate.

Because of the BA, you might want to avoid him though, if you already own John Buck as your 1st catcher.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 31 '08
Aaron Laffey Seattle Mariners
Strong possibility he starts the season in the Indians rotation. Groundball pitcher who will not overpower hitters, but does not walk a lot of guys and keeps the ball in the park. Put together some pretty solid numbers in his 5 ML seasons.

If he starts the season in the rotation, might have to up this 4x4 bid a tick or two.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 31 '08
Aubrey Huff San Francisco Giants
Ron Shandler, in an article posted at BaseballHQ.com two weeks ago, attempts to identify players who need to be "projected down" in light of recent revelations. One example:

Aubrey Huff didn't make it into the Mitchell Report, but his career trends read like someone who may have had some help in the years prior to MLB beginning serious steroids testing. He peaked at age 26 and his numbers have been in a slow fade ever since. But after 2007 -- when he failed despite having all his BPI planets in alignment -- it's worth a look to see what his 2008 might look like without the benefit of 2003-2004. PROJ: We'd already questioned his ability to return to the 20-HR level. Now his BA takes a hit too.

And it's a big hit, from .287 in the Baseball Forecaster to .274 in the current projections at BBHQ.

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 31 '08
Mike Napoli Cleveland Indians
I can't deny the hit his shoddy batting average will bring, but he will provide real power at the catcher position, and should be good for a career-high in ABs. If he finds a way to grab another handful of steals, that much more handy...

At least worth $5
Justin Dowling BGWoodsman
Jan 31 '08
His absolute lack of plate discipline does scare me off right away. No doubt he has talent, but not so sure he will harness that talent at 22. Sorry, but until he proves he can be more selective at the plate, I don't think he sniffs $30 this year.

He did earn $21 last year, and I would bid up to $20 because that power/speed combo is tempting, as Toz stated. That being said, I would not expect a huge season.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 31 '08
Bob Gibson St. Louis Cardinals
--He's still a competitor. A story going around town here in STL is that a couple of years back some smart-ass laid down a bunt on Gibson in a fantasy camp...next at-bat Gibson knocked him down.
Lew Prince theoldfart
Jan 31 '08
How homer happy was the dome last year? Hasn't it become kind of neutral?
Willie Mays SeyHey
Jan 31 '08
Young is really a mystery in a lot of ways at 22. Forget the head case part for a minute. His absolute lack of plate discipline should scare people off right away. On the other hand, he continues to put the ball in play, and does so safely. The slugging percentage isn't where I would like to see it - the homer dome could cure that. He also has that combination of raw power and speed that makes him very tempting. If I were slotting the prices on him, I would be a little lower than Mike, but he is very tempting.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 31 '08
More questions than answers.

Valuable roto player but not so valuable real player? (.319 obp and head case)

Could be a stage 2 play sucking money out of the speculators. Or could be a smart play to expect more this year seeing as how he has more support in the lineup? (possibly hitting between Mauer and Morneau)

And could be a smart play if the steals go up now that he is a Twin since he has the raw speed? (21, 32, 22 steals last 3 years in minors)
John Brand JohnB
Jan 31 '08

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