Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Vernon Wells New York Yankees
Well said Jurgen. He is still young and we know why he struggled in 06.
E Park yoda
Feb 1 '08
Sean Casey Boston Red Sox
ESPN is reporting he has agreed to a one-year deal with the Red Sox.

Doesn't appear to have too many AB's in his future with Red Sox. Probably have to knock his bid down to $2-$3.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
He's useful in Fantasy, but paying $25 makes me home that I'm getting a player who is on the cusp of the elites. While it's possible that Young suddenly sees a power spike, it's also possible in his age 22 season that he might simply continue to do what he's been doing: make good contact despite the poor K/W rate but not find the power stroke for another couple of years. I know my bid won't get him, but I've seen too many young, hyped players play decently but not live up to the elite expectations that they're supposed to live up to from Day One.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Mike Lowell Boston Red Sox
The batting average should drop. But Lowell's still going to get a ton of RBI opportunities in that line-up and he seems pretty comfortable in Beantown, now that he's gotten whatever the hell it was that was bothering him in 2005 out of the way. I'd settle in somewhere between Fenger's bid and Alex's. If he splits the difference between 2004 and 2006, which is a reasonable expectation, I'd be pretty happy with Lowell.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Signed to a minor league contract by the Yankees.

Not sure how he fits in with Betemit and Duncan both reserves at the CO spots. I assume if he makes the team Duncan would be sent down.

Can't see him as more than $1 bid.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
Jermaine Dye Chicago White Sox
He seemed back on track Post All-Star, so I have to attribute his first-half swoon to a statistical abberation, and not any sign that he's slowing down. I'm inclined to think that he could come close to putting up his 2005 numbers, and am willing to bid like he is. One problem is that he fought through a lot of minor aches and pains last year, and those minor aches and pains have a way of piling up as you push into your 30s.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Ian Kinsler San Diego Padres
I with Mike Fenger on Kinsler. He's a young player who hopefully will get another 15-20 games in next year, and he has an outside chance of being a 30-30 threat. His splits are dramatic, though. A 921 OPS at home vs. a 675 on the road concerns me a little, though Kinsler will still get to play half his games in Arlington. A larger concern is the fact that he pounded lefties (999 OPS in 115 AB) and scuffled against righties (732 in 368 AB). He was fine against right-handers in 2006, so I'm hoping this was just a one-year abberation, and not the beginning of a trend.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
This is exactly the kind of player who messes me up in Roto: wildly overrated year in real baseball (sub-.725 OPS for a corner OF??), extremely useful in fantasy.

My innards revolt every time I start bidding on one of these guys, and inevitably I end up pulling out of the auction much earlier than they're worth.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
Victor Martinez Detroit Tigers
For the second year in a row, his HRs dropped quite a bit Post All-Star. I'm reluctant to chase V-Mart to that bid price, not because I don't think he can earn it, but because he needs more time at DH or 1B to do so, and I don't think either Garko or Hafner are good candidates to sit all that much in 2008.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Derek Jeter New York Yankees
To some degree, I understand the rationale behind paying Jeter $30 or more in 4x4. He's almost a certain .300 hitter he'll steal 15 bases, and the power numbers do enough to prop him into the mid to high $20s, even in years he doesn't run. My problem with paying that much for him this year is that his baseball age is 34 and the years that he hits for power and steals a ton of bases seem to be the abberation and not the norm. When Jeter was 27 or 30, I didn't mind paying a little more, hoping for one of his standout seasons and "tolerating" a $27 season. The problem now is that age makes it a little less likely he'll put up on of those $35+ years, and a little more likely he'll earn $15-20 in a year when I pay $30.

All this means is that I won't be owning Jeter again until he's completely declined. People will pay big bucks for him until he's in the twilight. And I could be wrong. Jeter might coax another $35 season or two out of that skill set.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Felix Hernandez Atlanta Braves
USS Mariner has done a lot of research suggesting he needs to throw fewer:

http://ussmariner.com/2007/06/27/an-open-letter-to-rafael-chaves/

Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
A.J. Burnett Pittsburgh Pirates
He is always such a tease...all that talent but hasn't been able to crack $18 in earnings in the last 5 years. I had him last year at $20, which was a gamble, but I don't feel like gambling on this guy this year.

I would also be surprised if he went for $12 in an AL-only format, but that bid seems right for a guy who has only logged more than 175 IP in a season twice in his career. The injury risk is too great with Burnett to go much higher.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
The Jays aren't shopping him, but if S-F was willing to give up Cain or Lincecum, wouldn't you listen?
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
Paul Konerko Chicago White Sox
Add in his extra 54 points of batting average and his OBP exceeds his historical levels and his SLG gets back close to 2006. Add in 24 points to get back to his 2005 batting average and his OBP goes matches 2005 and his SLG falls 20 points short. His only drop off was in singles.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Feb 1 '08
All good comments, and I agree as well Konerko is primed for a bounce back in '08. I would be very pleased to get him at Alex's 4x4 bid.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
Konerko is interesting. His extra base hits are remarkably consistent. The question is - what caused the drop off? Luck? That's a lot of BA, OBP and SLG to attribute to luck. I just think he had an off year. I, like Mike G., expect a bounce-back.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Feb 1 '08
It looks like his "decline" was all BA. Ten more balls drop in for hits and nobody notices the off year.

If Swisher's batting ahead of him there should be a nice boost in RBI opportunities as well.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
A.J. Burnett Pittsburgh Pirates
I'd be shocked if $12 got him in AL-Only.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
Vernon Wells New York Yankees
Staggeringly frustrating player.

I think you pay hoping for 2005 and if it turns out there's another '03 or '06 in his bat you're laughing.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
Why has he been mentioned so often in trade talks? It frightens
owners in AL only leagues.
Bruce BUSCHEL BBGUN
Feb 1 '08

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