Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
I never want to put real money down on a guy who has had one good year, but then I almost never get guys like Shields. Sometimes that's good, but sometimes not. I do think he's the real deal, and I'm sure $14 (or the $13 I put on him in the Guide) isn't going to get him.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 16 '08
Scott Rolen Cincinnati Reds
All the evidence is that the AL is stronger than the NL, and they did score 13.3 percent more runs in interleague games last year. Since that's a small percentage of the total stats generated in a year, such a small difference doesn't have a big effect on the value of players in mixed leagues, who generally play in their own context (in which, as Alex notes, they're equal).

It does have an effect for a player switching leagues, though the difference is certainly smaller than our margin of error predicting. Still, it's definitely a reason to hold back a bit on the risky Rolen and the much less risky Miguel Cabrera.

Just don't be surprised if both play huge. A 13 percent edge isn't destiny.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 16 '08
My presumption is that AL hitters and AL pitchers are both better than their NL counterparts. In interleague games the AL outscored the NL by well over 100 runs. I think it was closer to 200 runs. So, while the average NL hitter put up similar stats, it was against lower quality pitching. Without the context of interleague play, the leagues would look equivalent based upon position player stats, but that proved to be untrue when the went head-to-head.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 16 '08
The average NL hitter hitter was almost a clone of the average AL hitter last year. That is, if you take the weak efforts of pitchers at the plate out of the league totals in each league, the hitting contexts were almost identical. Scott Rolen would have been worth $10 in the AL as well.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 15 '08
Franklin Gutierrez Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting RF for the Indians in 2008. Nice combination of power and speed, and 15/15 is a possibility. He is a bit of a free-swinger, but I like Gutierrez this year and long term. Wedge loves his defense, so he will play almost every day. I would have a max 4x4 bid of $15.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 15 '08
Love this guy. I owned him last year and watched many of his starts. His changeup is his bread and butter, and it's extremely difficult to hit. There is a lot to like about that 5:1 K/BB ratio. He does give up his share of HR's, but you will see that with control pitchers. He reminds me a lot of Haren, and I expect him to put up similar stats in '08. I would bump up his 5x5 and 4x4 bids...I would go as high as $20.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 15 '08
Scott Rolen Cincinnati Reds
Bear in mind that the AL is a much tougher league. Even if healthy, his relative value should be lower, had he produced the same numbers in the NL.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 15 '08
A much better player than Troy Glaus, for whom he was dealt, but with a discouraging injury history and a feud with his manager the deal is high risk for both sides. Rolen's defense and bat could make the Blue Jays a much better team, or he could hobble through the year. One hopes spring training helps us tell which Rolen the Jays got.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 15 '08
Troy Glaus Atlanta Braves
Reading Will Carrol's take on why the various training departments of the Blue Jays and Cardinals thought they might be able to squeeze something extra out of the injury-prone guy they didn't have reeked of desperation. Glaus is a fine power-hitter when healthy, but his health can't be assumed and he's a Cardinal because Tony LaRussa didn't get along with the more talented but equally injury-prone Scott Rolen.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 15 '08
Dustin Pedroia Boston Red Sox
This is a guy I like more than most. Tonight I participated in a so-called experts mock draft at Mock Draft Central. I took Pedroia at the end of the ninth round. Noted commentator Lenny Melnick ripped me a new one on the fantasybaseballguy.com podcast about the mock draft, and maybe I deserve it, but Pedroia is a guy I like more than most (as you can tell by my mixed league bid compared to those AL only bids).
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 15 '08
Carlos Silva Chicago Cubs
The move to Seattle should help his ERA. I'd expect a carbon copy of the raw numbers, although that means his ERA+ is in decline. If you can get him for less than $5 he's a great crapshoot pitcher to add to a few quality arms.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 15 '08
Scott Kazmir Atlanta Braves
I think the bids are wishful thinking to a small degree. He's got the Ks, but his walk rate is still pretty high ruining his Ratio. I'd be a little weary above $18. Then again, I generally draft for Ratio.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 15 '08
Shields had a very good Ratio and surprising Ks. His wins could improve next year with TB's improved defense and maturing offense. I'd run right through that 5x5 bid safely and maybe even double it.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 15 '08
Erik Bedard Tampa Bay Rays
5x5 bid should be higher. He lead in K/9 last year. If he goes to Seattle, bump up all of the bids. Both wins and ERA should benefit from a move to Safeco.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 15 '08
John Lackey Chicago Cubs
He's been improving every year. But, even though he reduced his walk rate considerably last year, his K rate went down also. He's always reminded me of Kevin Appier. It's probably his violent motion. Appier was also very durable until he had a major injury at age 30. I wonder what's in store for Lackey. I think a conservative bid value is in order. I think all three bids are in line despite last year's great performance.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 15 '08
Erick Aybar Minnesota Twins
Looked horrible last year in his 194 AB's, and that sub .600 OPS is hard to stomach. However, the trade of Cabrera and the fact they did not bring in another SS via trade could mean the Angels are ready to give a shot to open the season as the starting SS (I don't see them moving Wood back to SS). Aybar did steal 100 bases in '04 and '05 in A and AA while hitting over .300, but has not shown any ability to hit pitching above AA (hit .234 in 338 AB's in AAA in 2006). I have to believe the Angles will make a move to bring in a veteran SS, but if not, Aybar could be a cheap source of steals. Monitor closely this spring, and if he is named the starting SS, bump up that bid a few bucks because he could steal 20-25 bases.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 14 '08
At 3:43 PM on October 4, 1955, I became a baseball fan for life.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 14 '08
Baseball America's No. 4 prospect in the Texas League. Drafted in the first round in 2006. His first pro season ended in August, when he had athroscopic shoulder surgery. "Doctors found no significant damage." If he's as healthy as he's expected to be this spring, he may not even start the season in Double-A and could easily end it in the majors. A 0.78 rating in 8 starts at any level gets the attention.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 14 '08
Magglio Ordonez Detroit Tigers
I think anyone who is keeping him this year would be happy if he put up 2006 numbers. Especially since there is some reason to think he'll do a little better.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 14 '08
Baseball America's No. 2 prospect in the Texas League, where he won the qualitative Triple Crown (led in BA, OBP and SLG) and was voted MVP. "Headley also made progress with his defense at third," which is to say his glovework isn't what brought him to the majors.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 14 '08

Click on the name of a player (or thread) to go directly to that page and see the comment in context with the other comments.

Pattonlogo
Patton $ Online 2019
Rotoman
promo code: patton19
Shandler

Billjames

Tout ad

Xfllogo