Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Ryan Howard Philadelphia Phillies
To be fair, part of that reason was that Howard was blocked by Jim Thome and no major league team would with an ounce of sanity would have dreamed of moving Ryan Howard to left field.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 1 '08
Alas, all 199 of his strikeouts were unintentional, too. Versus Albert's 58 and Barry's 52. There was a reason he didn't get a real shot until he was 25 going on 26.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 1 '08
Mariano Rivera New York Yankees
How come he only earned $28 last year?

A disastrous April (10.57 ERA, 2 blown saves) and only 34 save opportunities all year. This guy is far from finished.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 1 '08
Bill James used to use "seasonal notation" (as I recall) which is the career totals expressed as a 162-game rate. Seems like that would be less misleading than just averaging the career totals. Next year at best -- I think people will generally be able to figure it out by what's shown, and the comments will point out the good and bad players.
mike fenger mike
Dec 31 '07
This guy makes me wonder if we should have a seasonal average as yet another stat line? With injuries these can be very misleading, and I'm a minimalist, so I think not. But I would think dividing the career totals by the number of years would it be easy enough. And I also think, Colin, if you say something for 2009 that's fair enough.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 31 '07
Scott Downs Cleveland Indians
Has the distinction of being the only lefty reliever to crack the top 10 in the AL last year in the category Batting Average vs. LHB (minimum 125 BF). There are two lefty starters on the list (Sabathia and Washburn). Making 7 of the pitchers righties, 4 of whom are closers (Papelbom, Putz, Accardo and K-Rod).

So Scott Downs did his job as well or better than any other lefty specialist, and he still has only limited appeal. Because lefty specialists more often than not don't even stay in the game long enough to get the third out of an inning and have a chance at the W.

Scott Downs actually was very effective last year against righties as well (.238 BAA), doing a nice job against the hitter sent up to pinch hit for the lefty hitter he was summoned to face. Then, if the next hitter was also a righty, he'd get a pat on the behind on his way to the showers.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 31 '07
You're right, it's a weird set of changes. The big thing for me is more walks, more strikeouts. The more doubles last year indicate what he can do when he's grasping at straws, which he may well be able to do for another year or two (which means more .800 OPSs coming up), but I think he's showing that what's working now is his odd combo of reflexes and smarts.

His smarts may keep him in a ML role for a few more years, but the natural decline in reflexes is going to hurt him. 40 home runs wouldn't be a surprise, but another year of .280 BA would.

More likely, even if he's great this year, he won't be a starter in 2011.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Dec 31 '07
Joaquin Benoit Washington Nationals
One big problem with Benoit is that he throws way too many pitches. A couple of those blown saves where the result of Benoit tiring and Washington being afraid to bring in another reliever. Benoit certainly has some great stuff, but he's better off in a role where he isn't required to stick around to fulfill the obligation to an arbitrary statistic.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Dec 31 '07
Roy Halladay Philadelphia Phillies
He'll be paid ace money in leagues where he's available. Your bid is right on.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Dec 31 '07
Joaquin Benoit Washington Nationals
Very, very tough on lefty hitters (in 134 AB, .172 BAA, .269 SAA, 7 BB, 46 SO) and plenty tough Close & Late (in 178 AB, .213 BAA, .315 SAA, 15 BB, 50 SO). Thus the perfect guy to bring in when the game is on the line in the 7th or 8th inning and David Ortiz is at the plate. And be in a position to end up with the W.

While he converted only 6 of 13 save opportunities, he made way too much progress last year to say he can't cut it as a closer, if given that role.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
Roy Halladay Philadelphia Phillies
A few more hits, a few more walks, and even though you won exactly the same number of games, you earn $11 less. Doesn't seem fair. And then you have to read in The Baseball Forecaster, "Elite status now at risk."

Clearly, with my bid, I disagree. I'm seeing a groundball pitcher still very much at the top of his profession, who probably was a little bit unlucky about the placement of the grounders in 2007. There's always risk where Halladay is concerned, but it's all about the quantity of IP, not their quality.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
Josh Bard Seattle Mariners
Really didn't like PETCO: 235 at home. Hit .330 with 21 doubles on the road. In what has to be a fluke, he hit 4 of his homers at PETCO.

Hit .406 in 101 AB with runners in scoring postion, so he's clutch.

Hit .227 in 79 AB Close & Late, so he's not clutch.

Hit .316 Post All-Star and .329 in September with two (two!) homers.

So if you owned him (yep, I did), he was a bit of a disappointment all told. But he was clutch.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
James Loney Atlanta Braves
Hit .419 with runners in scoring position, far the best in the NL. Hit .319 vs. lefties and .382 in September. Also 9 homers and 32 ribbies in September. The smart money is going to stay away from him, which could prove to be kind of dumb.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
Carlos Lee Florida Marlins
Turned out to be made for Minute Maid: 345 BA, .581 SLG at home. Hope that his declining speed keeps his price within bounds, and as soon as you roster him, think 40 homers.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
Ryan Howard Philadelphia Phillies
Thirty-five of his walks were intentional. Not quite as many as Barry (43) but a lot more than Albert (22).
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
Hunter Pence Texas Rangers
K/W be damned, I like him a lot.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
Torii Hunter Minnesota Twins
Don't know about over his career, but in the last three seasons Torii has had more success in Angel Stadium (.304 BA, .587 SLG in 46 AB) than in the Metrodome (.287 BA, .480 SLG in 739 AB). He picked a nice year to have his second best season ever.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
The Maris comparison strikes me as a little harsh, but Raines is no Sandy Koufax either. The five or six year dominance argument should be reserved for extremely special players, and I'm not sure Raines fits the bill.

Mike Gianella MikeG
Dec 30 '07
Odd that his batting average would dip while he was pounding out almost twice as many doubles. He won't hit .282 this year but there's a fair chance he'll hit close to 40 homers.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07
In a lenghty debate posted at ESPN, Jason Stark persuades Peter Gammons to vote for Raines on his next HOF ballot.

A lead-off hitter's job is to score runs, and Raines in his prime was awfully good at that. But that's a little like saying Roger Maris in his prime was a great home-run hitter. I would submit that 1983 through the strike-shortened 1987 are the only seasons in which Raines posted clearly HOF-worthy numbers. In 23 seasons of leading off, he scored 100 runs or more six times.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 30 '07

Click on the name of a player (or thread) to go directly to that page and see the comment in context with the other comments.

Pattonlogo
Patton $ Online 2019
Rotoman
promo code: patton19
Shandler

Billjames

Tout ad

Xfllogo