Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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Kyle Kendrick Boston Red Sox
All right, Peter. Here's my bid. I'll take the hot dog man.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 20 '08
Kevin Mulvey Minnesota Twins
Sportsline has had a 23-man active roster with a 7-man reserve list, and that's been the format since I've been in the league. You would think that with 30-man rosters that pitching would be hard to come by during the regular season.

But that isn't the case. Arms float through the free agent pipeline all year long that we didn't see coming. Some of these arms are guys who looked like R4s or R5s who wind up rushing through the minors in a hurry. Others are R2s who didn't get picked and made a bigger impact than anticipated.

But most of these guys are R3s. As Alex has said for years and years, there are more R3s than we can shake a stick at, and it's far harder to predict who the pitching R3s are who are going to make the biggest impact.

There will be a handful of hitters out there who will make a free agent impact. But there were be many more pitchers.

I see DiNardo as an R3 who will either wind up in the pen or struggle as a starter. You see him as a $1 endgame flier. To toss out another old Alex gem, the R3s and the $1 pitchers are pretty much interchangeable.

Does ADL still play with a reserve list? If any of you ADLers are lurking, what is the ADL experience in this regard?
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
Albert Pujols Los Angeles Angels
theoldfart was way ahead of this discussion, but Guide contributor Tim McLeod tells me that Pujols dropped this past weekend to the bottom of the Top 10 in his mock drafts. I'm not sure how to tell if this is based on real information or represents a panic, but the talk of real risk is clearly getting around.

Not that I was worried about the Pujols risk in November, which seems like a long time ago, so I'm not sure I stopped where I did. Nor do I know why I stopped on Ichiro, except that we already had a No. 1 steals guy and really needed power. I'm sure that Brian Giles had nothing to do with it, but his OBP will help us all season long in which he's able to play.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 20 '08
Kevin Mulvey Minnesota Twins
I don't keep track of the A's as much as A's Nation. And DiNardo isn't a stud by any means. But, if you are looking for arms- arms that are going to throw big league innings this year, why not take someone who is already in the rotation of a team in a relatively weak division, who had a solid ERA last season, despite questionable components.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Feb 20 '08
Sean Casey Boston Red Sox
Whatever, he was an absolutely dreadful player last season. It really takes talent, drive and determination to knock in 54 runs in that Detroit lineup, but Casey at the Bat never missed an opportunity to miss an opportunity.

Well, hardly ever.

We can freeze him at $9, but won't.
Michael Walsh Amaros
Feb 20 '08
Amaros have AP at $19 this coming season. We're charter members of the American Dream League and so the competition is pretty stiff (including Alex and Peter), and starting pitching has been going high lately.

To freeze or not to freeze? Can't say which way we're leaning at the moment... but AP sure has been Mr. Reliable, HGH or no HGH...

Michael Walsh Amaros
Feb 20 '08
Kyle Kendrick Boston Red Sox
Maybe it's because of the trade that he has no single league bids?
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 20 '08
Here's the Duke, Dan. You're right; very similar to Piazza. Especially if he had the good sense to hang them up a couple of years earlier.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 20 '08
Adam Everett Detroit Tigers
Painful to own, unless you play Strat-0-Matic; by all accounts he's a truly talented defender.

In the Fielding Bible Awards that John Dewan champions, Everett, in his shortened season, received more votes from the panel of ten experts than every shortstop in the majors except Troy Tulowitzky. Voters, choosing the ten best, listed him on every ballot. The Strato-O-Matic guy (Hal Richman) ranked him number one. Matt Olkin listed him as number 2. Rob Neyer as number 3.

In Dewan's plus/minus system, in which the average defender at a position gets zero points, Everett comes out as +92 over the last three years. The next best shortstop -- as it happens, his predecessor, Jason Bartlett -- gets +45.

Rafael Furcal gets +36.

Omar Vizquel gets +31

Bill Hall (very surprisingly) gets +24.

Now, even after you've carefully read Dewan's explanation of plus/minus, it's hard to know how seriously to take these numbers. In the end it seems to boil down to someone sitting in the stands saying "he got to a ball that the average shortstop wouldn't get to" or "he missed a ball that the average shortstop would get to." But let's go on.

Hanley Ramirez gets -43.

Michael Young gets -64.

Derek Jeter gets -90.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 20 '08
Mike Piazza New York Mets
I cant quite figure out how to post a stat line here, but Piazza's look similar to Duke Snider's, though the Duke had a bit more speed (85 triples and 99 career SB's in an era when 15 for the season might lead the league). Snider had 358 2B, 407 HR, 1333 RBI, and a career BA of .295.

I hadn't thought of Piazza as HOF-er, but, yeah, sure, why not. There are worse guys in there.
Dan Domike SeattleDan
Feb 20 '08
Willie McCovey San Francisco Giants
Like Cepeda, McCovey played in an era when pitching was far more dominant than it was when Piazza played. McCovey's Adjusted OPS (147) is a little better than Piazza's (142), and the longevity adds a little more credence to McCovey. In my humble opinion, McCovey's a Hall of Famer, though I think he's more of a borderline case than his fans make him out to be.

Of course, Piazza the hypothetical 1B/OF/DH might have played another 3-5 seasons and picked up another 100 HR and 600-700 hits and rendered this discussion moot. But given the stats of the hypothetical Piazza as 1B/OF/DH, I'd say no to the Hall.

But if we're talking about Piazza the catcher, it's most likely a moot point, and the question is not if Piazza goes in to the Hall but when.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
Orlando Cepeda San Francisco Giants
Yep, he was inducted in 1999.

My opinion is that Cepeda doesn't belong in the Hall. If I had to choose between Piazza and Cepeda even without considering position, I'd pick Piazza.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
Willie McCovey San Francisco Giants
And then (re Piazza's HOF credentials) there's Willie McCovey. By dint of playing 22 seasons, McCovey has far better career totals, but it's not like Piazza was a flash in the pan and his career averages are substantially better.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 20 '08
Orlando Cepeda San Francisco Giants
Re Piazza thread, isn't Cepeda in the Hall, Mike? I'm pretty sure he is. And Piazza by every measure has better career numbers.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 20 '08
I didn't think you were criticizing. I appreciate the healthy debate, and I often change my mind on players after going back and forth. As an example, my price on Jason Giambi has dropped.

In my money league I play 4x4, so I'll admit the whiffs aren't as important to me. And the whiffs did go down last year and Pettitte's at an age where they might not go back up. And I hate to bring this up again because of all the rocks that got thrown at me in the Clemens thread (not that I didn't paint a big ol' target on my back, as Alex pointed out), but I'm skeptical that Pettitte's 2005 numbers weren't tied in some way to HGH.

Still, I see your point. Paying $12 if you're convinced you're going to get $10-12 worth of stats is a security blanket that sure beats paying $10-12 for Matt Garza and then spending the rest of your year biting your nails wondering if Garza's going to earn $15 or negative $15.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
I took him for $1 in the Sportsline expert auction because I can reserve him at will even if he's on the MLB roster. His command both inside and outside the zone seems to be more of a problem than his raw stuff, but that's like saying your car runs fast but you can't steer it and there's fire shooting out from under the hood. Blow up his Post All-Star numbers last year and he earned $1 in 5x5 and lost $5 in 4x4. I'd say he's not worth a 4x4 bid but worth a $1 flier in 5x5 leagues where you can reserve him. There are poorer risks out there.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
Mike Piazza New York Mets
The argument could be made, though the non-catcher comps over at Baseball Reference tell me that Piazza would be on the wrong side of the argument. The HR would be his strongest argument as a non-catcher. The 12 All-Star selections and eight Top 10 MVP finishes might have been fewer at a thicker position. He had three absolutely sick years for a hitter at any position from 1995-1997, but wouldn't fit into the "most dominant hitter at his position argument" as an OF or 1B. In eight postseason series, he only came through big in the 2000 NLCS vs. St. Louis, and he has no rings.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
Not a criticism of you, but I believe in pitching starved AL (depth-wise), a dependable guy like Pettitte is more valuable than his numbers because he won't burn you like alot of the other guys. Plus, alot of Ks.
Jeff Jaffee JeffJaffee
Feb 20 '08
Lenny DiNardo Oakland Athletics
Eugene's been trying to get me to take DiNardo with the all important sixth round reserve pick I have coming up in the Sportsline draft.

DiNardo's upside is Jamie Moyer. He throws a mid-80s fastball with sink and an assortment of other pitches that keeps hitters off balance. He's definitely not a Quad-A guy; he belongs in the majors.

He certainly did strike out a lot of guys in the minors. But the K/IP rate did drop after DiNardo hit AA, so while he passed what John Sickels calls the "Double-A finesse acid test", DiNardo didn't exactly pass it with flying colors. Still, he deserves the shot he's gotten thus far.

His splits as a starter/reliever, though are radical over the course of his career. As a starter: 126 1/3 IP, 153 H, 56 BB, 54 K, 77 ER, 16 HR .309 BAA 1.654 WHIP, 5.49 ERA. As a reliever: 86 1/3 IP, 91 H, 31 BB, 58 K, 33 ER, 5 HR, .275 BAA, 1.413 WHIP, 3.44 ERA.

And the splits by pitch count tell even more of the story. Last year, his OPS against by pitch count:

Pitches 1-15: 569
16-30: 780
31-45: 665
46-60: 829
61-75: 812
76-90: 968
91-105: 808

I think DiNardo's funky stuff is better suited for the pen. If the A's stick him into the rotation and you buy him, I think you're in for a rough ride.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 20 '08
Justin Leone New York Yankees
When we see the first boxscores in spring training, who else is going to be at 3B for SF besides Justin Leone? Here's what the Fantasy Baseball Guide 2008 has to say about him: "He gets on base, has some power and can run. He's way too old to get another big league shot, but keep an eye on him if he does."

You will, you bet we will, Rotoman!

No other publication profiles him, you can be sure of that.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 20 '08

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